The Resolution

Published figures, held against what follows

Follow an institution's published figures through the versions held in this record. Projections and estimates remain visible when they change; authoritative outcomes are added when they become available.

A Resolution record follows one institution's figures for a defined quantity. It may contain projections, estimates or measured observations. Each version held here keeps its publication date and source, so a newer figure does not erase the earlier one.

An issuer may revise a figure as evidence improves, a budget changes or its outlook shifts. Those revisions are shown as changes between dated versions. A correction to Countability's own work is identified separately.

A projection can be compared with an authoritative outcome when an audited result or finalized statistical release arrives. Until then, the record remains open. The latest estimate is not treated as the outcome, and a conditional scenario is not treated as a prediction.

Some records await an outcome; others contain both settled and open positions. A measured record may have nothing to settle: its history of revisions is the evidence. The groups below distinguish these cases.

Countability reports the published figures and their differences. It does not choose a winning institution, infer forecasting competence or conceal a superseded estimate.

Published lineages

Awaiting settlement

Projections awaiting an outcome, and conditional scenarios whose assumptions must remain attached to them. A scenario is not a prediction awaiting a verdict.

Resolution · Finance Canada

The federal budgetary balance for fiscal 2025-26, across four Finance Canada projection vintages, before the audited Public Accounts settle it

Canada's federal budgetary balance (surplus/deficit) for fiscal year 2025-26, as the Department of Finance Canada's own summary fiscal outlook stated it in four successive publications -- Budget 2024, the 2024 …

Awaiting settlement5 vintages
Resolution · Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada's real GDP growth projection, across five Monetary Policy Report vintages, held against Statistics Canada's own outturn where one exists

Canada's real GDP growth (year-over-year percentage change), as the Bank of Canada's staff economic projection stated it in five successive Monetary Policy Reports (July 2025, October 2025, January 2026, April …

Awaiting settlement6 vintages
Resolution · Canada Energy Regulator

The Canada Energy Regulator's Energy Future 2026 electricity projections: what every scenario assumes about generation and capacity to 2035 and 2050, held beside the dataset's own recorded history

Canada's electricity generation (gigawatt hours) and installed generating capacity (megawatts), as the Canada Energy Regulator's 'Canada's Energy Future 2026: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2…

Awaiting settlement69 vintages
Resolution · Environment and Climate Change Canada

Canada's greenhouse gas emissions on the target-accounting basis: the 2005 base, the latest observed year, the government's own With Measures and With Additional Measures 2030/2035 projections, and the LULUCF accounting contribution that bridges the two

National greenhouse gas emissions on the accounting basis Canada's 2030/2035 targets and 2026 interim objective are assessed against -- the National Inventory Report's four-sector total (Energy, Industrial Proc…

Awaiting settlement5 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

What a first estimate of Canadian investment is worth: the capital expenditures survey's own release archive, 2015 through February 2026

Canada's first published number for a year's business investment appears in February of that year, before the year has happened. It comes from the Annual Capital and Repair Expenditures Survey, which asks organ…

Awaiting settlement7 vintages

Partially resolved

Records containing both settled outcomes and positions that remain open, identified separately.

Resolution · North Atlantic Treaty Organisation; Government of Canada (Prime Minister's Office, Department of Finance, Department of National Defence, Receiver General); Parliamentary Budget Officer

Canada's defence expenditure against NATO's 2%-of-GDP benchmark, across NATO's own estimate, Canada's committed funding, and Canada's audited departmental spending

Canada's defence expenditure measured against NATO's 2%-of-GDP benchmark, read across four distinct evidentiary categories that this entry does not collapse into one figure: NATO's own institutional estima…

Partially resolved13 vintages

Maintained records

Official records preserved version by version. Nothing here is waiting on an outcome; how the numbers moved between versions is itself the evidence.

Resolution · Statistics Canada; Department of Finance Canada (Receiver General for Canada)

Canada's federal debt, on three accounting concepts, at their own closest available dates

Four figures that are each publicly cited as 'the federal debt,' pinned side by side with the concept, basis, and date each one carries: two Canadian Government Finance Statistics (CGFS) balance-sheet concepts …

Maintained record4 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Statistics Canada's own December 2025 real GDP estimate, across four release vintages

Canada's real gross domestic product at basic prices, all industries, chained (2017) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates, for the reference month of December 2025 (table 36-10-0491) -- as Statistics Canada …

Maintained record4 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

The United States' share of Canada's goods exports: the monthly Balance-of-Payments record, 1997 through July 2026

Canada's monthly goods exports on the Balance of Payments basis, seasonally adjusted, to all countries, to the United States, and to the United Kingdom, as Statistics Canada's table 12-10-0011-01 publishes them…

Maintained record17 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Where the shift landed: Canada's customs-basis domestic exports by commodity section, by province, by each province's leading United States-bound section, and the unwrought precious-metals channel, twelve-month windows through July 2026

Canada's customs-basis domestic exports (goods produced or substantially transformed in Canada) by North American Product Classification System summary section and by province, to all countries, the United States, a…

Maintained record126 vintages
Resolution · President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register)

The 2025 United States tariff actions on Canadian goods: the operative rates and dates, from the primary documents

The ad valorem duty rates and effective dates the 2025 executive orders and section 232 proclamations state for imports from Canada: the general additional duty (25 percent, effective March 4, 2025; USMCA-preference good…

Maintained record8 vintages
Resolution · President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register); Prime Minister of Canada (pm.gc.ca) and Department of Finance Canada (canada.ca) for the Canadian-government publications pinned here

The 2026 United States Section 338 tariff escalation on Canadian goods: the operative rate, predicates, and dates, from the primary documents

Current reading, 2026-09-29: five further U.S. proclamations signed September 8 and published in the Federal Register September 14 are now captured with their complete annexes. Proclamations 11061, 11062 and 11063 make n…

Maintained record15 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

The capital record behind each worker: non-residential capital stock and business investment, by asset class, 1961 (flow) / 1961 (stock) through 2026 Q1 / 2024

Canada's non-residential capital stock (geometric end-year net stock, total all industries, chained (2017) dollars, table 36-10-0097-01, annual through 2024) and business gross fixed capital formation by asset class…

Maintained record12 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Business-sector labour productivity by era, 1991 through 2026 Q1, and the official capital-intensity decomposition beside it

Canada's business-sector labour productivity index (output per hour, chained, seasonally adjusted, table 36-10-0206-01, quarterly, 1991 Q2 through 2026 Q1) read across four eras bounded by the record's own turn…

Maintained record3 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Statistics Canada's measured electricity record: annual installed capacity through 2025 and monthly generation through July 2026, at the national all-producers total

Canada's measured electricity system as Statistics Canada's surveys state it: installed generating capacity (table 25-10-0022-01, annual, through reference year 2025, released 2026-10-19) and electric power gen…

Maintained record16 vintages
Resolution · Environment and Climate Change Canada

Canada's greenhouse gas emissions on the gross National Inventory Report basis: the national total and seven-sector breakdown, 1990 to 2024, excluding LULUCF

National greenhouse gas emissions as reported in the National Inventory Report, 2026 edition (1990-2024, submitted to the UNFCCC as a joint submission with Canada's second Biennial Transparency Report) -- the econom…

Maintained record8 vintages
Resolution · Independent Electricity System Operator; Statistics Canada

Ontario's public connection register: what the IESO's Application Status list states about large proposed loads, counted from the register's own fields — and why its sizes cannot be totalled

The IESO's public connection register (the Application Status list's own backing feed): every record's applicant, project name, type, stated size, proposed in-service date, assessment status, posted-report…

Maintained record13 vintages
Resolution · Independent Electricity System Operator; Hydro One Networks Inc.

What Ontario's connection assessments actually establish: the assessed station quantities behind the province's largest new industrial loads, the capacities the planning record publishes, and the reconciliations the process itself performs

The engineering layer of Ontario's connection process: final System Impact Assessment reports for the province's flagship new loads (the Windsor battery plant connection, the St. Thomas plant's new station…

Maintained record18 vintages
Resolution · Canada Energy Regulator; Statistics Canada

What crosses the border: Canada's electricity exports, imports and international power lines, on both issuers' records

Every export of electricity from Canada needs a permit or a licence from the Canada Energy Regulator, and every international power line it travels on is on the same regulator's register. That makes the cross-border…

Maintained record20 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada (compiling Department of Finance Canada source data); Department of Finance Canada

The federal fiscal year month by month: the path to the 2025-26 in-year deficit, and its reconciliation to the published annual statement

The same fiscal year, read two ways by the same source. Statistics Canada's table 10-10-0133-01 redistributes the Department of Finance's monthly financial data -- the cube's own footnote reads, verbatim, …

Maintained record5 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

How old the capital is: the measured age of Canada's non-residential capital stock, and of its infrastructure, on two instruments

Investment changes the capital stock slowly; the stock itself carries a measurable age. Statistics Canada publishes that age twice, on two instruments this entry never merges. The capital-stock survey puts an average age…

Maintained record12 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Who generates Canada's electricity, from what, and who buys it: two decades of the annual survey record

Statistics Canada surveys the generators of Canada's electricity every year and publishes the structure the monthly total conceals: how much electricity came from water, wind, sun, uranium and combustion, how much o…

Maintained record12 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

How Canada's monthly export figure moves after it is published: the issuer's own revision archive, December 2023 through July 2026

Statistics Canada publishes a table whose whole purpose is to keep its own earlier answers. Table 12-10-0165-01 carries a Release dimension: every monthly merchandise-trade release since December 2023 survives inside it …

Maintained record6 vintages
Resolution · Statistics Canada

Statistics Canada's own monthly GDP estimates, across eleven years of release vintages

Statistics Canada publishes a real-time table that keeps every vintage of its monthly GDP by industry estimates -- 137 releases between March 2015 and June 2026. Measured across the 130 reference months whose first estim…

Maintained record9 vintages

This register is the public Resolution record; lineages are added as they are admitted. See Work with Countability for a commissioned projection-resolution question.

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