The topic filter applies to evidence readings below. Corrections and selected analyses cover the whole site.
How to read the clock → “Dated” is the original record date; the reading states its observation period. An evidence date is retained as recorded and does not by itself establish a publication or incorporation date. A layout change does not recheck the evidence.
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Selected analysis
Budget 2026: where the money for new commitments came from
The deficit for this fiscal year is close to the spring forecast. Under that figure, the forecast improved by $158 billion over five years and new commitments used $152 billion of it. This page traces the figures through the budget’s own tables.
Read from Budget 2026 as published on November 10, 2026. Figures are the budget’s own projections, not results.
Ottawa’s red-tape reset reaches far beyond paperwork
How Ottawa’s proposed changes could affect business restructuring, electricity storage, trade and development near airports.
Proposed changes, read from the first-reading bill. This is a dated analysis, not a current bill-status check.
British Columbia’s next growth test
Real output has more than doubled since the late nineties. Growth per resident is slower, the ports serve a national production base, and the pre-election fiscal plan leaves a large deficit.
The next post-election budget is not yet available to test the fiscal posture. Project announcements do not establish future production, royalties or net public benefits.
Can governments still solve housing shortages? · Recent record: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. The window follows recorded checks, material corrections and selected analyses. Qualification and wording notices do not move it.
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Recent evidence readings
Showing 6 of 8 readings in this window, newest first. The remaining entries are in the full record below and the monthly archives.
Change type and importance are separate editorial decisions. An issuer revision can be material or minor; a checked-unchanged reading is still a finding. Minor changes include housekeeping only when the recorded effect warrants that description.
Evidence update · Minor change
Budget 2026 states goals that can be measured: 24,000 non-market housing starts a year, 200,000 homes through Build Canada Homes in the next decade, and 380,000 permanent residents a year from 2027 to 2029. It repeats the goal to double non-U.S. exports by the end of 2035.
More on this: Which public promises can actually be checked? →
Why it stands: Budget 2026, chapter 3 and the economic overview. Each goal is now registered with its source.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next monthly housing starts, immigration and trade releases.
Limit: Countability has not yet identified a public series that counts non-market housing starts. That goal is registered without a progress reading.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Big Question it bears on · the Big Question it bears on · the Big Question it bears on
Evidence update · Material change
During 2026 Q3, 63,641 dwellings started on the unadjusted all-areas measure, including 38,413 apartment and other units.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Exact coordinates and unit/seasonal basis match the registered concepts. Statistics Canada redistributed these observations October 19, separately from CMHC’s October 16 calendar. No selected prior numeric point changed.
The qualified successor advances the dated record; prior source editions and readings remain retained.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next issuer observation, revision or methodological clarification.
Limit: Actual quarterly counts differ from the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate. Completion/under-construction mirrors have unavailable observations; no new numerical completion or stock value is inferred.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Material change
September housing starts were running at an annualized 248,896 dwellings, 2.8% above revised August (242,223).
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: CMHC’s scheduled release date was October 16. Statistics Canada’s redistribution table is dated October 19; this reading uses the captured table, not a successfully archived CMHC release page (HTTP 403 on this run). The August national SAAR was revised from 229,046 to 242,223 (+13,177); July was revised from 229,360 to 246,341 (+16,981). The captured table does not explain the revision cause.
This updates one part of the housing record. Starts, spending, prices and completed homes remain separate measures.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next source release, revision or definition change.
Limit: Seasonally adjusted annual rate; not actual homes started during September. Five held monthly observations were revised. The separate metropolitan completion edition remains August. September is 2.8% above revised August; comparison with the earlier August edition would incorrectly show 8.7%.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Evidence update · Material change
August residential investment was $14.50 billion in constant 2023 dollars, seasonally adjusted, -0.5% from revised July and +4.5% from August 2025.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Issuer release 2026-10-21; captured October 26 UTC (October 25 Toronto). Every held reference date and earlier dated reading is retained. The issuer revised May by −$24.6 million, June by −$39.6 million and July by −$72.5 million in constant 2023 dollars. The August change is about −0.46% from revised July, rather than about −0.95% against the earlier July edition.
This updates one part of the housing record. Starts, spending, prices and completed homes remain separate measures.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next source release, revision or definition change.
Limit: This measures real residential construction spending, not dwelling counts, completions, occupancy or current-dollar spending. Three earlier observations were revised.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Evidence update · Material change
The September New Housing Price Index was 120.2 (December 2016=100), -0.2% from August and -2.0% from September 2025.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Issuer release 2026-10-22; captured October 26 UTC (October 25 Toronto). Every held reference date and earlier dated reading is retained.
This updates one part of the housing record. Starts, spending, prices and completed homes remain separate measures.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next source release, revision or definition change.
Limit: The index covers new single, semi-detached and row houses; it does not cover resale prices or condominium apartments and does not measure affordability.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Issuer revision · Material change
The latest housing-starts table revises April to August 2026: April −1,140; May −120; June −648; July +16,981; August +13,177 dwellings at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada redistributed the CMHC series on October 19. August is now 242,223, compared with 229,046 in the held earlier edition; July is now 246,341, compared with 229,360.
The qualified issuer revisions change the earlier starts history and the derived population-to-starts pressure and rent/starts correlation. No cause for the revisions is established.
Trigger recorded for this reading: A later qualified starts release or an issuer explanation of the historical revisions.
Limit: These are issuer revisions, not evidence that the earlier faithful capture was erroneous. Their cause is not established by the captured mirror. September’s 2.8% increase compares with revised August; mixing editions would incorrectly show 8.7%.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Monthly evidence archives
Full dated record — 15 more readings
Historical readings retain their original dates, text, limits and then-future triggers. They are not refreshed assessments. A linked current resolution may supersede a historical uncertainty.
Changed
Evidence update · Material change
September consumer prices rose 3.1% over the year, after 3.0% in August. Gasoline rose 27.8% and groceries 1.7%. Rent inflation held at 2.8%. Average hourly wages rose 2.3%, leaving a -0.8 percentage-point wage–price gap.
More on this: The price of everything: one headline rate, and the components underneath it →
Why it stands: The October 19 capture adds September to all 27 registered CPI series without dropping a held month. It records 4 revised historical values in the revisable core series. September wages were already held; prices now permit a matched-month comparison.
The headline increased while grocery inflation slowed and rent inflation was unchanged. Slower price growth does not mean lower price levels. The wage comparison describes an average across employees, not a fixed worker or household.
Trigger recorded for this reading: October CPI, scheduled for November 16 in the September issuer release, or revisions to these observations.
Limit: Component rates are not weighted contributions and are never added. CPI rent covers occupied rental housing, not only advertised leases. Core measures remain revisable. The wage–price gap subtracts rounded annual rates; it is not a compounded real-wage index. Wages are unadjusted and sensitive to employee composition.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Brief it reads from
Evidence update · Material change
August permits authorized 24,705 new dwelling units, 13.5% more than August 2025 on the unadjusted count. July was revised from 24,022 to 23,470, a reduction of 552 units.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada released August permits on October 14; the October 15 source capture retains every held month and records the July revision. Earlier dated readings and Data editions retain their original figures.
The same-month comparison describes residential construction intentions. It does not measure how many authorized dwellings started, finished or became occupied.
Trigger recorded for this reading: September building permits, scheduled for November 12, or revisions to the held observations.
Limit: August is preliminary and subject to revision. These are unadjusted new-dwelling counts, distinct from seasonally adjusted permit values in dollars. Month-to-month movement is not interpreted as seasonally controlled momentum. Permits do not establish construction or occupancy, and this update does not refresh the separate starts, completions or investment series.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Material change
CMHC’s August metropolitan tables report 15,729 starts, 16,899 gross completions and 360,554 units under construction at month end. July recorded 16,374 starts, 18,797 completions and 362,059 under construction.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Both matching August workbooks were obtained and qualified September 30; their issuer publication date is September 27. June and July extracts remain intact.
The existing housing pages now distinguish August construction milestones from the separate national permits and modelled housing benchmarks.
Trigger recorded for this reading: A successor source or correction that changes the qualified reading.
Limit: Unadjusted metropolitan counts, not national net additions. Ottawa and Gatineau are separate among 42 area rows. Monthly movements do not establish a trend, cancellations or closure of the housing shortage.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Material change
Canada's July 1 population estimate is 41,798,407, up 80,343 from revised April 1 and 189,425 from revised July 1, 2025. Growth is 0.5% over the year. Non-permanent residents number 2,779,774, or 6.65% of the population; their stock fell by 18,875 over the quarter. The same release puts the July 1 median age at 40.9 and the share aged 65 and over at 20.0%.
More on this: Canadian Capacity Monitor →
Why it stands: The September 23 population releases add July 1 stocks, Q2 migration and natural-increase components, and the annual age profile. Statistics Canada also revised earlier estimates; Countability retained its prior inputs and compared every shared observation before recomputing the existing series.
The observed population is growing slowly. The NPR share is above this record's straight-line path to the stated end-2027 target, changing its pace reading; that path is an accounting convention, not a forecast. People added per annualized housing start remain lower than a year earlier, but the former negative-pressure and record-low claims no longer hold. The pace change is already present in the revised April estimates; it is not caused by the subsequent quarterly decline in the NPR count.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next quarterly demographic release or a revision changing population, migration components or target pace.
Limit: July 1 stocks, Q2 flows and the annual July 1 age profile have different reference conventions. These are preliminary postcensal estimates based on the 2021 Census, not 2026 Census population counts. NPR administrative estimates remain revisable. Population and housing measures describe co-movement, not causation.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Minor change
New-home prices fell 0.1% in August and were 2.0% below August 2025. The national New Housing Price Index is 120.4, down from 120.5 in July. The existing housing-price comparison now includes August.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada released the August New Housing Price Index on September 17. The registered series adds one observation and contains no changed shared-month values in this capture.
New-home prices remain below their year-earlier level, alongside August all-items consumer inflation of 3.0%; the two indices describe different baskets.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The September New Housing Price Index or a source correction.
Limit: The index covers contractor selling prices for new single, semi-detached and row houses, excluding sales taxes. It is not a resale-home index, a measure of all housing costs, or seasonally adjusted.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Correction · Minor change
The residential construction investment series was labelled in 2017 dollars. Statistics Canada's source table uses a 2023 price basis. The label is corrected without rescaling any observation. The separate July update adds a month and incorporates the issuer's revisions to April, May and June.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: The issuer's June and July 2026 investment releases both identify table 34-10-0293 as the successor on a 2023 constant-dollar basis. The held record already uses that table and the same seasonally adjusted residential-investment vector.
The amounts describe construction volume at the source's 2023 price basis. They are not nominal spending and should not be compared as dollar levels with a series on a different price basis.
Trigger recorded for this reading: A source-definition change or the next investment release, scheduled for October 21, 2026.
Limit: This is a unit-label correction, not a conversion of observations from one price base to another. Construction investment does not measure completed or occupied homes.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Evidence update · Material change
July building permits authorized 24,022 new dwelling units, 19.8% fewer than a year earlier on the unadjusted count. The trailing twelve-month total was 297,088, down 3.6% from the preceding twelve months. Residential construction investment was $14.643 billion in constant 2023 dollars, seasonally adjusted, 4.9% above July 2025. These series measure different stages and cannot establish how many homes were completed or occupied.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada released July permits on September 16 and July construction investment on September 21. The captures also revise June permit units and April, May and June investment. The construction price-basis label is corrected separately; no observations were rescaled for that correction.
The permit count is lower over matching annual windows while measured residential construction volume is higher. That contrast describes authorizations and activity; it does not establish conversion rates, project delays or causation.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The August permits release on October 14 or August construction investment on October 21, or revisions to these series.
Limit: Permit counts are unadjusted, so month-to-month changes are not interpreted as seasonally controlled momentum. Constant-dollar investment is a volume measure rather than nominal spending. Permits, starts, construction spending, completions and occupancy are distinct; the detailed CMHC metropolitan completion panel remains on July.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Minor change
August housing starts were nearly flat at 229,046 units at an annualized rate, against a revised 229,360 in July. The six-month average fell from 247,446 to 244,149. These Canada-wide rates describe construction beginning, not homes completed.
More on this: Canadian Capacity Monitor →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada’s September 17 mirror of CMHC’s September 16 release adds August and revises May from 254,178 to 254,597, June from 240,773 to 240,486, and July from 229,074 to 229,360. The rolling window drops August 2006 and the derived 2007 Q3 population-per-start point.
The national starts chart advances to August. The detailed metropolitan delivery panel remains on July; the national net-additions gap remains unresolved.
Trigger recorded for this reading: September starts or revisions to the monthly record.
Limit: Annualized rates are not actual monthly counts. The monthly rate and six-month average are distinct measures; neither establishes national net additions or whether the housing shortage is closing. August construction headlines cover centres of 50,000+; they do not replace this panel’s detailed metropolitan edition.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Material change
August CPI rose 3.0 per cent over the year, matching July's rounded rate, while the unadjusted index fell 0.1 per cent during the month. Rent inflation rose from 2.5 to 2.8 per cent and remained below the headline for a second month; its gap narrowed from −0.5 to −0.2 percentage points. Average hourly wage growth slowed from 2.8 to 2.0 per cent, widening the rounded wage–price gap from −0.2 to −1.0 percentage point. CPI-trim is 1.9 per cent, CPI-median 2.0 and CPI-common 2.6.
More on this: The price of everything: one headline rate, and the components underneath it →
Why it stands: Reproduced the August observations from the governed index and wage records. The September 14 capture added August to all twenty-seven CPI series; six earlier CPI-common values were revised. Headline and component retained observations were unchanged.
The headline is steady while rent's own inflation rate rises and measured wage growth slows. Two observations below the headline do not establish a lasting change in rent inflation.
Trigger recorded for this reading: September CPI is scheduled for October 19, 2026, according to the issuer’s August release.
Limit: Component rates are not weighted contributions. The wage gap is a difference of rounded annual rates, not a real-wage index or a household estimate. Core measures remain revisable.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor · the Brief it reads from
Analysis update · Material change
Current metropolitan housing completions are now part of the record. The national shortage remains unresolved: these gross construction counts do not measure national net additions.
More on this question: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: CMHC’s direct June and July Excel tables provide a reproducible source beyond the three held Statistics Canada completion series, which still end in 2022. The metropolitan totals reconcile across the construction and intended-market tables.
The housing evidence gap is narrower. We can now show starts, unfinished construction and completions on a stated metropolitan basis, with intended-market detail. National benchmark-compliance percentages are replaced by separate institutional context.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next CMHC edition, a revision to a held edition, clarified survey coverage, or a comparable national net-additions measure.
Limit: The broader provincial totals conflict with the published coverage notes. This reading uses metropolitan tables only. It does not infer cancellations, occupancy, linked construction cohorts or a trend from two unadjusted months.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Evidence update · Material change
July’s Consumer Price Index is now in the record, and it rearranges the price story this record has been telling. Prices overall rose 3.0 per cent over the year to July, up from 2.8 per cent in June. The index itself rose 0.5 per cent on the month. Rent inflation fell to 2.5 per cent — its lowest reading since November 2021. For the first time since January 2023, rent rose more slowly over the year than prices overall: the gap between rent and the headline rate was +0.7 of a percentage point in June, and is now −0.5. Energy moved fastest over the year: gasoline stood 25.7 per cent above a year earlier, and energy as a whole was up 16.6 per cent. May’s readings were higher still, at 33.2 and 22.2, so July is a re-acceleration inside a volatile year, not a peak. These are the fastest-moving of the twenty-two price series this record holds from the headline table, not measured shares of the headline number; this record holds no basket weights. The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures sit below the headline: 1.9 per cent (CPI-trim), 2.0 per cent (CPI-median), and 2.7 per cent (CPI-common). Measured pay rose 2.8 per cent over the same year, 0.2 of a point behind prices.
More on this question: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada published July’s index on 17 August, and Countability refetched every price series it holds rather than copying figures out of the release — twenty-seven series now, expanded this month from two so the headline can be decomposed rather than quoted. For the headline table, all 239 months already on file came back carrying exactly the value they carried before, and the frozen June record still reproduces to the digit, so July is a new observation and not a restatement of older ones. The one exception is the issuer’s own and is by design: Statistics Canada restated June’s CPI-trim from 1.8 to 1.9 per cent, and six historical CPI-common readings, because those measures are published as revisable — trim and median rest on seasonally adjusted inputs, and common’s model is re-estimated over its whole history each month. That is reported here as a restatement, not as an error.
The rent reading behind the housing question changes in character rather than merely in size: for the first time in this record’s run of published readings, rent is not outrunning overall prices. The level shift the record locates in early 2025 still stands, and the maintained correlation between rent inflation and net non-permanent-resident inflows now reads against a rent series that decelerated from 3.5 to 2.5 per cent in a single month. Whether July is a turn or a wobble is exactly what the next readings decide; nothing here settles it.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next monthly index — in particular whether a second month shows rent inflation at or below the headline.
Limit: One month is one month, and every direction named here is a single reading old. “Rent” is the rent component of the price index — what tenants across existing and new leases are paying — not asking rents on newly listed units. The year-over-year comparisons span Statistics Canada’s May 2026 update to the index’s basket — the three most recent months, July included, sit on the updated basket and the other nine predate it — and a basket effect must never be read as an economic movement. Component comparisons rank rates of change, not contributions: this record holds no basket weights, so it cannot say how much of the 3.0 came from where. The energy figures compare against weak months a year earlier; a base effect is not a trend. No comparison here reaches earlier than the record’s claim floor of July 2006; the held window itself now begins in August 2006, one month later, its oldest month rolling off with each release. Core measures are the issuer’s published figures, revisable by design. Adapted from Statistics Canada, table 18-10-0256-01, 2026; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Evidence update · Minor change
June's Consumer Price Index is now in the record. Prices overall rose 2.8 per cent over the year to June -- down from 3.2 per cent in May. The index itself fell 0.4 per cent on the month. Rent inflation was 3.5 per cent, about where it stood in May, so the gap between rent inflation and overall inflation widened again: from 0.3 of a percentage point in May to 0.7 in June.
More on this question: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada published June's index on 20 July, and Countability refetched the price series it holds rather than copying figures out of the release. Every one of the 239 months already on file came back carrying exactly the value it carried before, so this month's movement is a new observation and not a restatement of older ones.
The rent reading behind the housing question does not change in substance. Rent inflation is still running above overall inflation, and the level shift the record locates in early 2025 still stands — now measured a little more sharply, at 7.40 per cent average before against 4.55 per cent after. What moved is the comparison between the two, because overall inflation eased while rent did not.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next monthly index, or a month in which rent inflation stops running above overall inflation.
Limit: One month is one month, and June's easing is a single reading rather than an established direction. "Rent" here is the rent component of the price index — what tenants across existing and new leases are paying — not asking rents on newly listed units. The year-over-year comparison also spans Statistics Canada's own update to the index's basket weights, introduced with the May reference month; that update changes how the index is composed from that month forward and restated no month already published.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Checked, unchanged
Checked, unchanged · Material reading
The housing supply readings are unchanged -- and that is a finding, not something skipped. This record refreshed all 148 of its source files for this update. Housing starts, units under construction, and the quarterly and annual completions series came back with every value identical to what this record already held.
More on this question: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Housing starts still end at the second quarter of 2026 and official completions still end at 2022, exactly as before. Nothing in the refresh moved them. Two other series on this domain did move and are not covered by this reading: the New Home Price Index gained a June 2026 month, and residential investment gained a May 2026 month and had three earlier months restated.
The share of the modelled building requirement that actual starts are running at is the same figure it was; so is the gap between how fresh the starts series is and how stale the completions series is. A reader who saw a new update date on this record should not read it as new evidence on housing supply.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next quarterly housing starts release, and any release that ends the completions stall.
Limit: This covers the supply series only — starts, units under construction, and completions. The monthly completions series for larger centres dropped its oldest 2006 observation as its fetch window rolled forward, which changes no published figure and does not end its stall at 2022. This is not a statement about house prices, about residential investment, or about series this record does not track. The price index in particular did move: its long-run record no longer holds, and the level shift located in it is measured slightly differently than a month ago.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on
Checked, unchanged · Material reading
The Canadian Capacity Monitor was checked again against a complete housing-starts update. Housing delivery still lags both independent benchmarks, and the gap against each widened slightly in the newest quarter. Every other row was rechecked against the same update, and no other row's answer moved: population pressure, the labour market, and federal fiscal room.
More on this question: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Statistics Canada published a new quarter of housing starts (2026 Q2) and revised the five months before it. Construction's pace against CMHC's benchmark eased but stayed just over half, and against the Parliamentary Budget Officer's benchmark eased from above nine-tenths to just under it. Every other row in the Monitor was rechecked against the same complete update and no other row's answer moved. Construction's composition also shifted: the record all-time-low ground-oriented-housing share that held through the prior quarter did not extend to this one.
Housing delivery's shortfall against both benchmarks widened on the newest data; the Monitor's overall reading is otherwise unchanged.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next housing-starts release, or any release that changes another row's answer.
Limit: One quarter's recovery in the construction mix is not evidence the composition record has reversed either way; the completions series itself remains stalled at its existing period, unrelated to this update.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Unresolved
Unresolved · Material reading
CMHC’s detailed geography and intended-market publication pages displayed a September 27, 2026 publication date when checked on September 29, 2026. The matching workbooks have not yet been obtained and reconciled, so this panel retains the last qualified July estimates. The newer package’s reference period and numerical changes remain unverified.
More on this: Can governments still solve housing shortages? →
Why it stands: Both official publication pages display a newer date. The download selectors did not yield a qualified geography/intended-market workbook pair; ordinary direct requests returned HTTP 403. Access failure is not evidence of unchanged values.
The Housing question and Capacity monitor keep their July metropolitan estimates, explicitly dated, until a matching successor pair passes source and total checks.
Trigger recorded for this reading: Acquire the matching geography and intended-market workbooks from the official publication controls; establish their reference month, coverage notes and totals.
Limit: Page metadata cannot establish reference-period values. These gross metropolitan counts do not measure national net additions or occupancy.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor
Site-wide corrections and wording amendments
Record-dated corrections: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. Material qualification notices: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. Minor wording notices: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11.
These notices change published explanations, claims or wording. They do not report new observations. Each link preserves what was wrong, the replacement and its effect.
- Dollarama geography and quarter length Qualification dated 2026-11-04. The Canadian store-count observation is retained. Consolidated sales are not a measure of Canadian discount spending or evidence of household motivation.
- Labour headcount comparison and annual window Identified 2026-10-27. The summary and shared claim explanation change. The September employment and population observations, annual ratio of 0.52 and earlier dated readings are unchanged.
- EI successor rules and historical expiry notice Identified 2026-10-27. The rule history is brought forward; the original regulation and original notice are preserved. No employment observation changes.
- Monthly trade reference periods Identified 2026-10-27. The date comparison changes. Trade values, statistical bases, legal dates and the daily counts are unchanged.
- Alberta statistical balance and legal compliance Identified 2026-10-27. The legal-compliance inference and its associated pace verdict are withdrawn. This correction does not adjudicate the separately registered Ontario and Quebec statistical trend proxies, whose basis classifications remain under the combined fiscal review. The statistical balance of 1.29% of GDP in 2024 is unchanged. This makes no finding about Alberta's actual compliance.
- Ontario and Quebec statistical balances beside fiscal-year promises Identified 2026-10-27. The pace inference is withdrawn for Ontario and Quebec. Statistical values are unchanged. This makes no finding about actual provincial compliance.
- US Monitor overview reference periods Identified 2026-10-27. This completes the overview counterpart of the October 27 panel-date correction. Statistical values and legal dates are unchanged; no tariff-effect inference is made.
Material corrections and withdrawals in the evidence log
- Dated 2026-11-10: Two previously admitted selected findings are withdrawn from current use after recomputation: the Quebec balance streak and the earlier employment level-shift window. Their historical receipts remain available. Limit: Withdrawal does not erase the prior source edition or establish a causal explanation. A new selected window requires its own examination before admission.
Minor wording amendments (1) — no analytical conclusion changes
- Minor wording amendment — IRCC method limits Correction dated 2026-10-28. Wording only. No observation, calculation policy, precision or analytical conclusion changes.
Recorded release calendar — checked through 2026-11-11
This calendar retains the log’s original check date. Dates and then-future descriptions below are not a new check of an issuer’s schedule.
Official releases that could change the answer — next 14 days
| Date | Issuer | Release | What it could change | Products |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Statistics Canada | Building permits, September 2026 Confirmed date | The next unadjusted dwelling-unit count and prior revisions. Date stated in the issuer’s October 14 August permits release. | Canadian Capacity Monitor · Housing shortage (Big Question) |
| 2026-11-16 | Statistics Canada | Consumer Price Index, October 2026 Confirmed date | The matched-month price, rent, core and wage comparison. Date stated in the September issuer release captured October 19. | Housing shortage (Big Question) · The price of everything: one headline rate, and the components underneath it |
Just beyond 14 days
| Date | Issuer | Release | What it could change | Products |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-27 | Statistics Canada | National Accounts (GDP and gross fixed capital formation), Q3 2026 Provisional — typical cadence | Whether the turn in real GDP per person holds for a second quarter, whether output per worker keeps adding, and whether the per-person level finally passes its 2022 Q3 record; on the capital side, a third quarter of 2026 investment, still one quarter short of a calendar year. The issuer may also restate the two quarters this release just settled. Date provisional: it follows the issuer's observed quarterly cadence of publishing about two months after the quarter ends, and no source captured for these readings pins it. | Investment into productivity (Big Question) · Living standards (Big Question) · The capital behind each worker: the investment record, and the productivity record beside it · The anatomy of Canadian living standards |
| 2026-12-08 | Statistics Canada | Canadian international merchandise trade, October 2026 Confirmed date | The next matched trade month and historical revisions. Date stated in the captured November 4 issuer article. | US Exposure Monitor · Sell beyond the us (Big Question) · Canada's exports and the United States: the record break, and where the difference went |
| 2026-12-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | Greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions projections report and target-accounting-basis update (adds the 2024 accounting-basis observation) Provisional — typical cadence | The delivered-share and pace-ratio readings on the target-accounting basis, the With Measures/With Additional Measures 2030 projections and their gap to the target band, and the 2026 interim-objective scenario check -- the principal settlement event for this Brief's first re-reading. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2026-12-31 | Environment and Climate Change Canada / UNFCCC | Canada's second Biennial Transparency Report (statutory Paris Agreement deadline) Confirmed date | Corroborates or updates the LULUCF accounting-contribution methodology and the target-accounting statements this Brief cites; carried unresolved if it lands before this Brief can ingest it. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2027-04-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | National Inventory Report, next edition (adds the 2025 gross-inventory observed year) Provisional — typical cadence | The gross-inventory basis's delivered-share and pace-ratio readings, the seven-sector ledger, and the moving-baseline chapter's own comparison; a full re-ingest of the new vintage with the prior vintage preserved, revision separated from new-year movement. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2027-12-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | Statutory progress report on the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan, next edition Provisional — typical cadence | The official-assessment quotations this Brief cites and the secondary sector indicators; never a verdict source by itself. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
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