Next: The August 2026 trade record, which the issuer's own July release article states is scheduled for release on October 6, 2026. That August reference month is the first with any day on or after August 22, 2026, the date…
The U.S. share of Canada's goods exports fell to 68.5% over the twelve months through July 2026, the lowest in the record. In the month itself, exports to every other country set a high.
The answer
The United States bought 68.50 per cent of Canada's goods exports over the twelve months through July 2026, against 74.08 per cent a year earlier -- a fall of 5.58 percentage points. That window is the lowest of the 342 twelve-month windows in this twenty-nine-year monthly record, and this time the low is not a near-tie: the next-lowest window, ending April 2026, reads 68.99 per cent, half a percentage point higher. The largest one-year fall before this episode was 4.02 percentage points, over the twelve months to August 2007; the six largest falls in the record all end between February and July 2026, and the fastest of them, 7.16 percentage points, ends March 2026. The count of 342 is the number of twelve-month windows the record held when this reading captured it, on September 4, 2026. Two days later this record took a wider capture of the same Statistics Canada figures, reaching two months further back, and every capture from now on carries the whole published series. The next reading therefore counts from a longer record, so the number of windows will rise by more than one.
The fall has two distinct sides. Over the twelve months to July, U.S.-bound exports fell 1.6 per cent -- a shallower one-year drop than the 3.4 per cent the June window showed, because the comparison now starts from an already-depressed base month. Exports to the rest of the world rose 29.3 per cent, but 52.7 per cent of that rise is the United Kingdom alone, and the customs record shows the U.K. movement sits almost entirely in the section that carries unwrought gold; the all-countries unwrought precious-metals series rose 43.9 per cent across the same windows. Motor vehicles show the opposite pattern: a 9.7 per cent fall in U.S.-bound sales that other markets barely offset, the rest-of-world gain worth 5.6 cents of every dollar lost.
The single month is sharper than the window. In July, exports to the United States fell 6.6 per cent from June, ending a run of five straight monthly rises that ran from February to June 2026, while exports to every other country together rose 7.4 per cent, to $25,620.3 million -- the highest monthly level this record holds. Across all countries the month was down 2.3 per cent on June. In that month 33.7 per cent of Canada's goods exports went somewhere other than the United States.
The share break is real and now sets a record on its own; the reallocation outside the bullion channel is still modest; and about seven of every ten export dollars still come from one customer.
The policy backdrop escalated after this trade reading closed. On July 20, 2026, the United States signed three new proclamations under section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, each imposing an additional 50 per cent ad valorem duty on certain products of Canada set forth in that proclamation's own Annex II -- alcoholic beverages, dairy, and motor vehicles are each proclamation's own discrimination predicate, not the stated scope of the duty -- with the section 232 and civil-aircraft exclusions each proclamation states. Each proclamation's operative text states no exemption for USMCA-qualifying goods; each proclamation also names an Annex I once, as a possible exception to the rule that these duties stack with other duties, with no stated subject matter and no established place in the capture. A fourth proclamation delayed the effective date from August 19 to August 22, 2026, citing, according to senior executive branch officials, Canada's expressed commitment to remove the underlying discrimination findings. Those duties became legally effective on August 22, 2026 under the proclamations. This record has not yet observed duties assessed or collected on shipments. On August 21, 2026, the Prime Minister stated that Canada would match the U.S. tariffs dollar for dollar and named a scope of roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods (currency as stated), and that evening suspended trade negotiations; the Department of Finance Canada then published the rate schedule -- 15, 25 and 50 per cent counter-tariffs on $27.6 billion of U.S. goods -- which becomes legally effective on September 8, 2026.
None of this is inside the trade figures above, and this reading claims no tariff effect. The July 2026 reference month ends before August 22, the date the U.S. duties became legally effective, and before September 8, the date Canada's counter-tariffs become legally effective. No month in this reading covers a single day under either measure, so no effect of either can be observed in it.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 74.1% |
|---|---|
| Share of the total, later window | 68.5% |
| Change in the share | -5.58 pp |
| Numerator change | -9,411.2 CAD millions |
| Numerator change, per cent | -1.6% |
| Denominator (total) change | +50,133.1 CAD millions |
| Denominator change, per cent | +6.4% |
The U.S.-bound twelve-month sum divided by the all-countries twelve-month sum, in each window; the shift is the later share minus the earlier, in percentage points. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values; every input is in the evidence tables on this page.
What this means for the decision
Judge a diversification plan by the non-bullion figures, not the overall rise: on the customs record about two-thirds of the increase in exports to other countries is the metals section, and what is left now offsets a little over seven-tenths of the drop in sales to the United States -- a larger fraction than the June window showed, because the U.S. drop itself has narrowed rather than because the reallocation broadened. Judge the exposure by its size, not only by how much it has changed: at a record-low share, goods sold to the United States still earn about a sixth of Canada's entire economy, and in motor vehicles the drop in U.S. sales found only a marginal buyer elsewhere. Read the newest month carefully, because it points both ways at once: the five-month run of rises in U.S.-bound exports ended in July, and the same month set both the record-low twelve-month share and the record-high monthly level of exports to every other country. One month settles neither question.
The key uncertainty
Every value here is nominal: nothing on this page separates price from volume. Partner shares are gross shipment values, not domestic value added -- they measure where shipments go, not where the income stays. The bullion channel that dominates the rest-of-world rise can reverse within a month; the issuer's own July 2026 release, captured for this reading, describes lower exports of unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals in the month and a 9.0 per cent fall in their export prices since February 2026, so window-on-window readings will move as the windows roll. The record low is a single window this time, half a percentage point clear of the next, so it no longer rests on a margin smaller than the issuer's own revisions -- but every monthly value behind it remains subject to those revisions, and the June figures in this window were themselves revised in this release. This reading is computed from the issuer's own data tables; the issuer's July release article is captured beside them and is cited only for its schedule statement and its own description of the month. Separately, and material to how the escalation section below should be read: none of the three 2026 Section 338 proclamations states a total dollar value for the goods newly subject to their duties, and the dollar figures on the record describe separate things -- each proclamation's own predicate is the prior decline in Canadian imports of that U.S. product category, not the scope of the new duty; the Prime Minister's 'roughly $28 billion' figure is the Government of Canada's own scope statement in a currency the statement itself does not designate; and the Department of Finance Canada's own $27.6 billion is that department's figure for the Canadian goods the U.S. measures cover. This Brief states those figures side by side, unreconciled. The duty's effect on trade is unmeasured: this record has not yet observed duties assessed or collected on shipments, and no reference month it holds covers a day on or after either measure's stated effective date.
What would settle it
The August 2026 trade record, which the issuer's own July release article states is scheduled for release on October 6, 2026. That August reference month is the first with any day on or after August 22, 2026, the date the U.S. duties became legally effective -- but only its last ten days fall on or after that date, so it is only partly after the duties, not entirely after them, and nothing in it can be read as a clean before-and-after comparison. Each further release re-tests the share, the U.S.-bound level, and the bullion channel. Separately, this Brief also refreshes on the amendment, revocation, or supersession of any pinned tariff document. Canada's own counter-tariffs become legally effective on September 8, 2026. The September 2026 reference month is therefore the first that falls entirely after the U.S. duties' effective date and the first that could cover any period in which both sides' measures were in force; its record is expected in November 2026 on the issuer's observed monthly cadence, with no issuer-stated date behind that expectation.
Selling less to one customer and more to everyone else has been a stated Canadian ambition for fifty years; since the broad United States tariff actions became legally effective it has been the declared national strategy. Whether it is happening is checkable, month by month, in the official trade record. The answer decides real things: which industries carry the policy risk, what a diversification plan is actually worth, and how much of the economy still moves when the United States does. This Brief reads that record on both of the measures Statistics Canada uses, and sets the overall figure beside the detailed trade flows that explain it.
Evidence reviewed through 2026-09-04 · 7 cited sources · 5 member Resolutions · 9 chapters
Resolution lineages behind this Brief: Where the shift landed: Canada's customs-basis domestic exports by commodity section, by province, by each province's… → · How Canada's monthly export figure moves after it is published: the issuer's own revision archive, December 2023… → · The United States' share of Canada's goods exports: the monthly Balance-of-Payments record, 1997 through July 2026 → · The 2025 United States tariff actions on Canadian goods: the operative rates and dates, from the primary documents → · The 2026 United States Section 338 tariff escalation on Canadian goods: the operative rate, predicates, and dates, from… →
Refreshed when Statistics Canada publishes each month's international merchandise trade record (monthly), or when a pinned tariff document is amended, revoked, or superseded -- whichever arrives first. The July 2026 reference month was published September 3, 2026 and is read here. The issuer's own release article states that August reference-month data are scheduled for release on October 6, 2026.
This Brief answers the Big Question Can Canada sell beyond the United States? · The long-form investigation over the same record The Tariff Ledger · How this Brief was made — sources, method and limits →
Chapter 1§
The share, and the break
The central arithmetic this Brief exists to state: the United States' share of Canada's goods exports across the two latest twelve-month windows, on the Balance of Payments record, which spans nearly three decades.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to the United States) | 571,041.0 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at the United States coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to all countries) | 833,687.7 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at the all-countries coordinate (Balance of Payments basis, seasonally adjusted), as… |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to the United States) | 580,452.2 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at the United States coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to all countries) | 783,554.6 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at the all-countries coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| Comparison | Movement | Convention |
|---|---|---|
| Exports to the United States, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026 | -9,411.2 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in millions of Canadian dollars; percent difference relative to the earlier window. Both windows are sums of the same published monthly series. |
| Exports to all countries, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026 | +50,133.1 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in millions of Canadian dollars; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
The evidence behind this chapter: The United States' share of Canada's goods exports: the monthly Balance-of-Payments record, 1997 through July 2026 →
Chapter 2§
Where the difference went
The decomposition behind the share: how much of the fall is lost U.S. demand, how much is rest-of-world gain, and how much of that gain is one channel -- the United Kingdom and the unwrought-precious-metals trade.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to the United Kingdom) | 71,055.0 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at the United Kingdom coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to the United Kingdom) | 39,657.9 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at the United Kingdom coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (total of all merchandise, to United Kingdom) | 67,593,837.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (total of all merchandise, to United Kingdom) | 36,524,551.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United Kingdom) | 60,923,872.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United Kingdom) | 31,098,267.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, and their alloys; total exports, all countries) | 71,395.2 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, and their alloys; total exports, all countries) | 49,599.3 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Comparison | Movement | Convention |
|---|---|---|
| Exports to the United Kingdom, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026 | +31,397.1 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in millions of Canadian dollars; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Domestic exports to the United Kingdom, all merchandise, window on window | +31,069,286.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, total exports to all countries, window on window | +21,795.9 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
Chapter 3§
What fell on the U.S. side
The customs-basis domestic-export record of which product sections carried the U.S.-bound decline -- and the one large section whose world total rose while its U.S. line fell.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United States) | 43,001,641.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United States) | 54,530,173.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to all countries) | 123,965,153.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to all countries) | 99,073,009.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (energy products, to United States) | 168,655,912.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (energy products, to United States) | 166,492,092.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (motor vehicles and parts, to United States) | 66,528,628.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (motor vehicles and parts, to United States) | 73,642,121.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (motor vehicles and parts, to all countries) | 71,878,924.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (motor vehicles and parts, to all countries) | 78,595,520.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (forestry products and building and packaging materials, to United States) | 33,228,616.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (forestry products and building and packaging materials, to United States) | 38,500,287.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (consumer goods, to United States) | 63,045,983.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (consumer goods, to United States) | 65,845,125.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Comparison | Movement | Convention |
|---|---|---|
| Metal and non-metallic mineral products to the United States, window on window | -11,528,532.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Metal and non-metallic mineral products to all countries, window on window | +24,892,144.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Motor vehicles and parts to the United States, window on window | -7,113,493.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Motor vehicles and parts to all countries, window on window | -6,716,596.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
| Energy products to the United States, window on window | +2,163,820.0 CAD thousands | Numeric difference: the later twelve-month sum minus the earlier, in the values' own unit; percent difference relative to the earlier window. |
The evidence behind this chapter: Where the shift landed: Canada's customs-basis domestic exports by commodity section, by province, by each province's… →
Chapter 4§
Where it lands in Canada: four measures that disagree
The same customs record at province grain, for every province rather than the largest three. Four measures are read here and deliberately kept apart: scale, what a province sells to the United States and how much of the national total that is; intensity, how much of that province's own export trade goes to one customer; the shift in that intensity window on window; and, in the section below, composition. They are never combined into a single exposure score, because they do not agree about which provinces carry the most exposure -- and that disagreement is the finding. The province with the largest dollar exposure is not the province most dependent on the American market, and neither is the province whose dependence moved most. Intensity here is a share of a province's own goods exports, not of its economy: it carries no output, income or employment denominator, excludes services entirely, and cannot see what a province contributes to another province's exports.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to United States) | 4,765,295.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to United States) | 5,794,098.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to all countries) | 16,307,466.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to all countries) | 14,099,670.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to United States) | 1,952,017.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to United States) | 1,988,782.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to all countries) | 2,637,881.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to all countries) | 2,528,443.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to United States) | 4,578,989.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to United States) | 4,648,924.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to all countries) | 6,550,660.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to all countries) | 6,690,508.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to United States) | 15,489,470.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to United States) | 15,066,393.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to all countries) | 17,012,442.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to all countries) | 16,783,382.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: domestic exports to United States) | 81,247,049.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: domestic exports to United States) | 89,504,414.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: domestic exports to all countries) | 117,371,281.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: domestic exports to all countries) | 120,990,575.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: domestic exports to United States) | 185,945,714.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: domestic exports to United States) | 196,782,544.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: domestic exports to all countries) | 285,274,344.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: domestic exports to all countries) | 261,511,170.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: domestic exports to United States) | 11,973,709.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: domestic exports to United States) | 14,344,495.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: domestic exports to all countries) | 18,599,666.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: domestic exports to all countries) | 20,944,279.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to United States) | 25,463,165.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to United States) | 24,465,475.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to all countries) | 46,728,072.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to all countries) | 44,420,226.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: domestic exports to United States) | 157,972,320.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: domestic exports to United States) | 158,249,560.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: domestic exports to all countries) | 188,954,359.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: domestic exports to all countries) | 182,482,385.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: domestic exports to United States) | 26,850,336.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: domestic exports to United States) | 29,138,664.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: domestic exports to all countries) | 56,110,410.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: domestic exports to all countries) | 55,038,778.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
Canada's exposure to the United States is not spread evenly, and the provinces that carry the most of it are not the provinces that depend on it most. Ontario sells the most across the border — 36.0 per cent of everything Canada sold to the United States in the twelve months ending July 2026 — yet 5 provinces send a larger proportion of their own exports there than it does. New Brunswick is the most dependent, at 91.0 per cent of its own goods exports, but accounts for 3.0 per cent of the national total. Newfoundland and Labrador is the least dependent, at 29.2 per cent. The largest move belongs to Newfoundland and Labrador, whose share fell 11.9 points. The national fall was not universal: Nova Scotia and New Brunswick became more United States-oriented across the same two windows, not less.
| Province | U.S.-bound exports | Share of national U.S.-bound | U.S. share of own exports | Previous window | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newfoundland and Labrador | $4,765.3 million | 0.9% | 29.2% | 41.1% | -11.87 pp |
| Prince Edward Island | $1,952.0 million | 0.4% | 74.0% | 78.7% | -4.66 pp |
| Nova Scotia | $4,579.0 million | 0.9% | 69.9% | 69.5% | +0.42 pp |
| New Brunswick | $15,489.5 million | 3.0% | 91.0% | 89.8% | +1.28 pp |
| Quebec | $81,247.0 million | 15.7% | 69.2% | 74.0% | -4.75 pp |
| Ontario | $185,945.7 million | 36.0% | 65.2% | 75.2% | -10.07 pp |
| Manitoba | $11,973.7 million | 2.3% | 64.4% | 68.5% | -4.11 pp |
| Saskatchewan | $25,463.2 million | 4.9% | 54.5% | 55.1% | -0.59 pp |
| Alberta | $157,972.3 million | 30.6% | 83.6% | 86.7% | -3.12 pp |
| British Columbia | $26,850.3 million | 5.2% | 47.9% | 52.9% | -5.09 pp |
Levels are twelve-month sums for the twelve months ending July 2026, customs basis, domestic exports, in current dollars. Provinces are listed in the source table’s own order — not ranked, because the three measures do not agree on an order. The ten provinces account for 99.97 per cent of the national U.S.-bound total; the remainder is the territories, which this capture does not include, plus trade the table does not allocate to a province. That gap is published here rather than closed by rescaling.
The evidence behind this chapter: Where the shift landed: Canada's customs-basis domestic exports by commodity section, by province, by each province's… →
Chapter 5§
What each province actually sells across the border
The commodity composition behind each province's exposure, from the same customs table at province and section grain: the product section carrying the largest share of that province's United States-bound exports, and how much of the province's cross-border trade sits in that one channel. Composition is what makes two provinces with similar dependence face different exposures -- a province whose sales are spread across many sections and a province whose sales are concentrated in one are not carrying the same risk, even where their headline shares match. The sections are the classification's own summary rows, and each province's leading section is named rather than inferred.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 2,356,103.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 3,608,743.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: consumer goods, domestic exports to United States) | 1,051,017.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: consumer goods, domestic exports to United States) | 981,833.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States) | 1,483,784.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States) | 1,601,244.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 8,263,555.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 5,573,060.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: metal and non-metallic mineral products, domestic exports to United States) | 17,234,278.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: metal and non-metallic mineral products, domestic exports to United States) | 20,994,312.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States) | 58,684,330.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States) | 63,372,746.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: farm, fishing and intermediate food products, domestic exports to United States) | 2,841,264.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: farm, fishing and intermediate food products, domestic exports to United States) | 2,676,995.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 13,936,951.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 13,221,759.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 129,415,317.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 129,965,663.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 5,844,735.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2025 through July 2026, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
| Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: energy products, domestic exports to United States) | 5,944,134.0 CAD thousands | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the published monthly values, August 2024 through July 2025, at this publication's series coordinate, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. |
The same dependence can rest on very different trade. Energy products is the largest United States-bound section in 5 of the ten provinces, but the degree of concentration varies more than the headline shares do: 81.9 per cent of what Alberta sells to the United States is energy products, against 21.2 per cent for Quebec’s largest section. A province whose cross-border sales sit in one channel and a province whose sales are spread across many are not carrying the same exposure, even where their shares match.
| Province | Largest U.S.-bound section | Value | Share of the province’s U.S.-bound exports |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newfoundland and Labrador | Energy products | $2,356.1 million | 49.4% |
| Prince Edward Island | Consumer goods | $1,051.0 million | 53.8% |
| Nova Scotia | Motor vehicles and parts | $1,483.8 million | 32.4% |
| New Brunswick | Energy products | $8,263.6 million | 53.3% |
| Quebec | Metal and non-metallic mineral products | $17,234.3 million | 21.2% |
| Ontario | Motor vehicles and parts | $58,684.3 million | 31.6% |
| Manitoba | Farm, fishing and intermediate food products | $2,841.3 million | 23.7% |
| Saskatchewan | Energy products | $13,937.0 million | 54.7% |
| Alberta | Energy products | $129,415.3 million | 81.9% |
| British Columbia | Energy products | $5,844.7 million | 21.8% |
Sections are the classification’s own summary rows; each province’s leading section is read from the record, never inferred from what a province is known for. The section is broader than any single commodity, and nothing here states a price, a volume, or a shipment route. The next monthly trade release rolls every window here forward by one month — it can move these shares, and it cannot change what a province makes.
Chapter 6§
The scale that remains
What the level still is, after the break: the latest full calendar year against the highest-share year, the freshest single month, and the U.S.-bound share of the whole economy.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calendar 2025 (exports to the United States; the record's lowest-share full year) | 555,387.8 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2025 at the United States coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| Calendar 2025 (exports to all countries) | 775,784.7 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2025 at the all-countries coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| Calendar 2024 (exports to the United States) | 589,989.2 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2024 at the United States coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| Calendar 2024 (exports to all countries) | 777,612.6 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2024 at the all-countries coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| Calendar 2002 (exports to the United States) | 346,299.2 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2002 at the United States coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| Calendar 2002 (exports to all countries; the record's highest-share year) | 413,068.8 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | Sum of the twelve published monthly values of calendar 2002 at the all-countries coordinate, same basis, as published at capture on 2026-09-04. Re-derived at… |
| July 2026, single month (exports to the United States) | 50,517.1 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | The published July 2026 monthly value at the United States coordinate, same basis and capture. |
| July 2026, single month (exports to all countries) | 76,137.4 CAD millions | institutional estimate | — | The published July 2026 monthly value at the all-countries coordinate, same basis and capture -- the freshest month in the record. |
Chapter 7§
The dated actions beside the record
The United States tariff actions, from the primary documents: what each states, at what rate, from what date. Shown beside the record as dated context; no movement on this page is attributed to any specific action.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Additional duty on products of Canada, effective 2025-03-04 | 25.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | The 25 percent ad valorem rate EO 14193 imposes on articles that are products of Canada, read from the order's own operative text; the March 4, 2025 effective… |
| Additional duty on Canadian energy and energy resources, effective 2025-03-04 | 10.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | The 10 percent ad valorem rate EO 14193 imposes on energy or energy resources (as defined in section 8 of EO 14156), read from the order's own operative text;… |
| Additional duty on products of Canada subject to the 25 percent rate, raised effective 2025-08-01 | 35.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | EO 14325's operative text: articles subject to the additional 25 percent rate under EO 14193, as amended, 'shall instead be subject to an additional ad valorem… |
| Section 232 tariff on imported automobiles, effective 2025-04-03 | 25.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 10908's 25 percent ad valorem tariff on automobiles, effective 12:01 a.m. EDT April 3, 2025, read from the proclamation's own text. |
| Section 232 tariff on steel and aluminum articles, raised effective 2025-06-04 | 50.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 10947's increase of the section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs from 25 to 50 percent ad valorem, effective 12:01 a.m. EDT June 4, 2025, read from… |
| Section 232 duty on softwood timber and lumber, effective 2025-10-14 | 10.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 10976's 10 percent ad valorem duty on softwood timber and lumber, effective 12:01 a.m. EDT October 14, 2025, read from the proclamation's own text. |
Evidence gap
What share of Canada's exports to the United States is actually subject to tariffs right now, and at what effective rates?
What is missing: No official source on either side of the border publishes a continuously updated, machine-readable statement of the tariff status of Canadian exports. The operative documents state rates, scopes, and effective dates, but the duty actually applied to a shipment depends on USMCA qualification, product classification, exclusions, stacking rules, and later modifications — determinations spread across executive orders, proclamations, agency notices, and rulings, with no consolidated official series.
Consequence: The U.S. Exposure Brief shows the export record beside the dated tariff actions, but it cannot state what fraction of U.S.-bound exports is tariffed or at what effective rate — any such coverage percentage would be an outside model, not a reading of the record. Public claims about 'x per cent of exports now face tariffs' rest on estimates whose assumptions are rarely published.
What would close it: Either government publishing a continuously updated, openly licensed series of duty collections or tariff coverage on Canada–U.S. trade at product grain — or customs releasing duty-assessed values beside trade values on a compatible classification.
The evidence behind this chapter: The 2025 United States tariff actions on Canadian goods: the operative rates and dates, from the primary documents →
Chapter 8§
The 2026 escalation: three Section 338 proclamations
The newest United States tariff action, from the primary documents: three proclamations under a section of the Tariff Act, the proclamation that delayed their effective date, and the Government of Canada's own statements of retaliatory intent. Shown beside the record as dated context, distinct from the actions the companion Resolution above already pins. Each proclamation's operative text states no exemption for USMCA-qualifying goods; each proclamation also names an Annex I once, as a possible exception to the rule that these duties stack with other duties, with no stated subject matter and no established place in the capture. These duties became legally effective on the date the proclamations state. This record has not yet observed duties assessed or collected on shipments.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Additional duty on certain products of Canada set forth in Proclamation 11046's own Annex II (the alcoholic-beverage discrimination proclamation), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056 | 50.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 11046's own operative text: an additional ad valorem duty of 50 percent on certain products of Canada as set forth in Annex II, under section 338… |
| Additional duty on certain products of Canada set forth in Proclamation 11047's own Annex II (the dairy discrimination proclamation), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056 | 50.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 11047's own operative text: an additional ad valorem duty of 50 percent on certain products of Canada as set forth in Annex II, under section 338… |
| Additional duty on certain Canadian products under the motor-vehicles proclamation (Proclamation 11048, Annex II), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056 | 50.0 % ad valorem (additional duty) | benchmark | — | Proclamation 11048's own operative text: an additional ad valorem duty of 50 percent on certain products of Canada as set forth in Annex II, under section 338… |
| Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages, March 2024 through February 2025 (the prior-year comparison window Proclamation 11046 itself uses) | 718.0 US$ million | institutional estimate | — | Proclamation 11046's own finding of fact, comparing March 2025-February 2026 to 'the same period in 2024-2025': 'Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages… |
| Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages, March 2025 through February 2026 (Proclamation 11046's own comparison window) | 137.0 US$ million | institutional estimate | — | Proclamation 11046's own finding of fact: 'Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages decreased by approximately 81 percent (from approximately $718 million… |
| Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada, April 2024 through March 2025 (the prior-year comparison window Proclamation 11048 itself uses) | 25.9 US$ billion | institutional estimate | — | Proclamation 11048's own finding of fact, comparing April 2025-March 2026 to 'the same period in 2024-2025': 'imports of U.S. motor vehicles to Canada… |
| Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada, April 2025 through March 2026 (Proclamation 11048's own comparison window) | 20.3 US$ billion | institutional estimate | — | Proclamation 11048's own finding of fact: 'imports of U.S. motor vehicles to Canada decreased by approximately 22 percent (from approximately $25.9 billion to… |
| Value of Canadian goods the Prime Minister's statement (2026-08-21) states the U.S. tariff was about to apply to, and which Canada's dollar-for-dollar retaliation is scoped against | 28.0 $ billion (currency as stated -- not explicitly designated in the statement; see basis) | institutional estimate | — | PM Carney's own statement, 2026-08-21: 'At midnight tonight, the U.S. intends to impose a 50% tariff on roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods. Canada will… |
| Comparison | Movement | Convention |
|---|---|---|
| Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages: the March 2024-February 2025 window against the March 2025-February 2026 window -- two periods inside one document (Proclamation 11046), not two vintages of a restated figure | -581.0 US$ million | Numeric and percentage difference in US$ millions between the two 12-month windows (March through February, one year apart) Proclamation 11046's own text compares for Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages. |
| Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada: the April 2024-March 2025 window against the April 2025-March 2026 window -- two periods inside one document (Proclamation 11048), not two vintages of a restated figure | -5.6 US$ billion | Numeric and percentage difference in US$ billions between the two 12-month windows (April through March, one year apart) Proclamation 11048's own text compares for imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada. |
The evidence behind this chapter: The 2026 United States Section 338 tariff escalation on Canadian goods: the operative rate, predicates, and dates, from… →
Chapter 9§
How much these figures move
Statistics Canada keeps a table whose whole purpose is to preserve its own earlier answers, so the export figures this Brief reads can be set against what the same reference months were given on the day they were first published. What that archive shows about how firm a fresh monthly trade figure is -- stated for the all-countries total the United States figures sit inside, because no partner-level revision archive exists for anyone to read.
| Period | Value | Role | Assurance | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2025 exports, as first published on 6 March 2025 | 74,464.5 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 16 ("March 06, 2025"), coordinate Canada / Export / Balance of payments / Seasonally adjusted / Total of all merchandise,… |
| January 2025 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release | 73,521.4 CAD millions | revised observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 32 ("July 07, 2026"), same coordinate, same reference month 2025-01, in millions of Canadian dollars. Seventeen release… |
| March 2025 exports, as first published on 6 May 2025 | 69,895.3 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 18 ("May 06, 2025"), same coordinate, reference month 2025-03, in millions of Canadian dollars. This reference month… |
| March 2025 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release | 67,151.5 CAD millions | revised observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 32 ("July 07, 2026"), same coordinate, same reference month 2025-03, in millions of Canadian dollars. Fifteen release… |
| March 2026 exports, as first published on 5 May 2026 | 72,773.4 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 30 ("May 05, 2026"), same coordinate, reference month 2026-03, in millions of Canadian dollars. |
| March 2026 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release | 74,482.0 CAD millions | revised observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 32 ("July 07, 2026"), same coordinate, same reference month 2026-03, in millions of Canadian dollars. Only three release… |
| Calendar 2025 exports, summed from the twelve monthly figures as each was first published | 779,309.3 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | The sum of twelve first prints: for each reference month of calendar 2025, the value carried by the release member whose own final reference month is that… |
| Calendar 2025 exports, summed from the same twelve months as they read at the 7 July 2026 release | 775,784.7 CAD millions | revised observation | unaudited | The sum of the same twelve reference months read from Release member 32, in millions of Canadian dollars, by the same addition. This figure equals the… |
| May 2026 exports -- the freshest month in the record, and a first print with no later release behind it | 77,099.2 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0165-01, Release member 32 ("July 07, 2026"), same coordinate, reference month 2026-05, in millions of Canadian dollars. This is the release that… |
| May 2026 exports as the ordinary monthly trade table publishes them (the cross-channel control) | 77,099.2 CAD millions | preliminary observation | unaudited | Table 12-10-0011-01, exports, Balance of Payments basis, seasonally adjusted, Canada, partner All countries, reference month 2026-05, in millions of Canadian… |
| Comparison | Movement | Convention |
|---|---|---|
| January 2025 exports: first print against the current figure | -943.1 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the value the 7 July 2026 release gives January 2025 minus the value the 6 March 2025 release first gave it, in millions of Canadian dollars. One series, one reference month, one issuer, one… |
| March 2025 exports: the largest revision in the window | -2,743.8 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the value the 7 July 2026 release gives March 2025 minus the value the 6 May 2025 release first gave it, in millions of Canadian dollars. Of the thirty-one reference months in this window that have… |
| March 2026 exports: how far a recent month has already moved, in three releases | +1,708.6 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the value the 7 July 2026 release gives March 2026 minus the value the 5 May 2026 release first gave it, in millions of Canadian dollars. Only two further releases have touched this month, so this is… |
| Calendar 2025 exports: the twelve first prints against the same twelve months today | -3,524.6 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the sum of the twelve reference months of calendar 2025 as they read at the 7 July 2026 release, minus the sum of the same twelve months as each was first published, in millions of Canadian dollars.… |
| May 2026 exports read through the revision archive and through the ordinary monthly table | +0.0 CAD millions | Numeric difference: the May 2026 export figure carried by the revision archive's latest release member minus the figure carried by the ordinary monthly trade table, in millions of Canadian dollars. Two Statistics Canada… |
The evidence behind this chapter: How Canada's monthly export figure moves after it is published: the issuer's own revision archive, December 2023… →
Scenarios
Scenario
The U.S. share, window on window
What share of Canada's goods exports went to the United States in the latest twelve months, against the twelve months before?
The U.S.-bound twelve-month sum divided by the all-countries twelve-month sum, in each window; the shift is the later share minus the earlier, in percentage points. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values; every input is in the evidence tables on this page.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 74.1% |
| Share of the total, later window | 68.5% |
| Change in the share | -5.58 pp |
| Numerator change | -9,411.2 CAD millions |
| Numerator change, per cent | -1.6% |
| Denominator (total) change | +50,133.1 CAD millions |
| Denominator change, per cent | +6.4% |
Assumptions:
- Twelve-month sums smooth seasonality and single-month noise; they also lag turning points by construction -- the freshest single month is shown separately on this page.
- Both windows read one series on one basis (Balance of Payments, seasonally adjusted); the share is a ratio of window sums, not an average of monthly shares.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
Scenario
The split: U.S. fall, rest-of-world rise, and the U.K. inside it
How does the change in total exports split between the United States and everyone else -- and how much of the rest-of-world rise is the United Kingdom alone?
The U.S.-bound change and the rest-of-world change across the two windows, from the pinned U.S. and all-countries sums; the United Kingdom's own pinned change is then stated as a share of the rest-of-world change. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values.
| The named part's change | -9,411.2 CAD millions |
| The named part's change, per cent | -1.6% |
| The whole's change | +50,133.1 CAD millions |
| Rest-of-whole change | +59,544.3 CAD millions |
| Rest-of-whole change, per cent | +29.3% |
| The named sub-part's change | +31,397.1 CAD millions |
| Sub-part's share of the rest's change | 52.7% |
Assumptions:
- Rest-of-world is all countries minus the United States, inside one basis (Balance of Payments, seasonally adjusted).
- The U.K. share of the rest-of-world change divides two window-on-window changes; it is a composition statement about the change, not about the level.
- All values are nominal, and the U.K. movement is dominated by the precious-metals channel this Brief documents separately on the customs basis -- a channel that can reverse quickly.
Scenario
The same split on the customs record
On the customs-basis domestic-export record, how does the change split between the United States and everyone else?
The U.S.-bound change and the rest-of-world change across the two windows, from the pinned customs-basis domestic-export sums. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values.
| The named part's change | -23,767,696.0 CAD thousands |
| The named part's change, per cent | -4.4% |
| The whole's change | +29,628,807.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change | +53,396,503.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change, per cent | +28.4% |
Assumptions:
- Domestic exports exclude re-exports of foreign-produced goods; this is the basis on which the product-section detail below is read, and it is never mixed with the Balance of Payments split above.
- All values are nominal twelve-month sums, unadjusted; window-on-window differencing carries the seasonal pattern out by construction.
Scenario
The metals section: redirection, not disappearance
Did the metal-products section's U.S. fall show up as a world fall -- or did the section's exports go somewhere else?
The metal-and-non-metallic-mineral-products section's U.S.-bound change against the section's rest-of-world change, from the pinned customs sums. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values.
| The named part's change | -11,528,532.0 CAD thousands |
| The named part's change, per cent | -21.1% |
| The whole's change | +24,892,144.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change | +36,420,676.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change, per cent | +81.8% |
Assumptions:
- The section is broader than precious metals (it also carries steel, aluminum, and fabricated mineral products); the unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals series pinned beside it is an all-countries total on the detailed-commodity table.
- A rising rest-of-world line beside a falling U.S. line is consistent with redirection of the same trade; this page states the two movements and does not assert shipment-level rerouting.
Scenario
Motor vehicles: the fall with no offset
Did the motor-vehicles section's U.S. fall find any offsetting market?
The motor-vehicles-and-parts section's U.S.-bound change against the section's rest-of-world change, from the pinned customs sums. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values.
| The named part's change | -7,113,493.0 CAD thousands |
| The named part's change, per cent | -9.7% |
| The whole's change | -6,716,596.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change | +396,897.0 CAD thousands |
| Rest-of-whole change, per cent | +8.0% |
Assumptions:
- Nearly all Canadian vehicle exports go to the United States, so the section's rest-of-world base is small; a near-zero rest change is stated as what it is, not annualized into a growth rate story.
- All values are nominal twelve-month sums on the customs domestic-export basis.
Scenario
U.S.-bound exports against the whole economy
How large are calendar-2025 goods exports to the United States relative to Canada's economy?
The pinned calendar-2025 U.S.-bound export sum over the average of the four calendar-2025 quarterly levels of nominal GDP at market prices (seasonally adjusted at annual rates), from the pipeline's pinned national-accounts series. Computed once, before publication.
| Share of GDP | 17.1% |
| Matched GDP denominator | 3,245,257.0 CAD millions |
Assumptions:
- The numerator is Balance-of-Payments goods exports; services and investment income are outside this Brief, so this is the goods-export share of GDP, not total U.S.-linked earnings.
- Numerator and denominator are both calendar-2025 nominal aggregates from Statistics Canada; the denominator quarters are named explicitly and averaged, the standard treatment for an annualized-rate series.
- GDP is a value-added measure while exports are gross shipment values; the ratio states scale, not the share of GDP produced for U.S. demand.
Scenario
Ontario's share of the national U.S.-bound total
How much of everything Canada sells to the United States comes from one province?
Ontario's U.S.-bound twelve-month sum over Canada's own U.S.-bound twelve-month sum on the same customs table, in each window. Computed once, before publication, from the pinned Resolution values. The denominator is Statistics Canada's own Canada total, not a sum of the provinces: the ten provinces do not reconcile to it, and the gap -- territories plus trade the table does not allocate to a province -- is published in the panel below rather than closed.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 36.4% |
| Share of the total, later window | 36.0% |
| Change in the share | -0.42 pp |
| Numerator change | -10,836,830.0 CAD thousands |
| Numerator change, per cent | -5.5% |
| Denominator (total) change | -23,767,696.0 CAD thousands |
| Denominator change, per cent | -4.4% |
Assumptions:
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a scale measure. A province can carry a large share of the national total while sending a smaller proportion of its own exports to the United States than its neighbours.
Scenario
Ontario: how much of its own export trade goes south
Of everything Ontario sells abroad, how much goes to the United States?
Ontario's U.S.-bound twelve-month sum over Ontario's all-countries twelve-month sum, in each window, from the pinned Resolution values. Computed once, before publication.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 75.2% |
| Share of the total, later window | 65.2% |
| Change in the share | -10.07 pp |
| Numerator change | -10,836,830.0 CAD thousands |
| Numerator change, per cent | -5.5% |
| Denominator (total) change | +23,763,174.0 CAD thousands |
| Denominator change, per cent | +9.1% |
Assumptions:
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a share of the province's own goods exports, not of the provincial economy: it has no gross-domestic-product, income or employment denominator and excludes services entirely.
Scenario
New Brunswick: the most concentrated dependence
Of everything New Brunswick sells abroad, how much goes to the United States -- and did that move with the national share?
New Brunswick's U.S.-bound twelve-month sum over its all-countries twelve-month sum, in each window, from the pinned Resolution values. Computed once, before publication.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 89.8% |
| Share of the total, later window | 91.0% |
| Change in the share | +1.28 pp |
| Numerator change | +423,077.0 CAD thousands |
| Numerator change, per cent | +2.8% |
| Denominator (total) change | +229,060.0 CAD thousands |
| Denominator change, per cent | +1.4% |
Assumptions:
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a share of the province's own goods exports, not of the provincial economy.
- A small export base moves on fewer shipments than a large one: this province's window sums are a fraction of Ontario's or Alberta's, and single-cargo timing can move its share.
Scenario
Alberta: one section carries the exposure
How much of what Alberta sells to the United States is a single product section?
Alberta's U.S.-bound energy-products twelve-month sum over Alberta's total U.S.-bound twelve-month sum, in each window, from the pinned Resolution values. Computed once, before publication.
| Share of the total, earlier window | 82.1% |
| Share of the total, later window | 81.9% |
| Change in the share | -0.20 pp |
| Numerator change | -550,346.0 CAD thousands |
| Numerator change, per cent | -0.4% |
| Denominator (total) change | -277,240.0 CAD thousands |
| Denominator change, per cent | -0.2% |
Assumptions:
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- The numerator is the classification's own summary section, which is broader than any single commodity; nothing here states a price, a volume, or a pipeline flow.
- This is a concentration measure of the province's cross-border sales, not of its economy.
Directly observed
No section of this Brief currently carries an audited outcome — zero is shown, not hidden.
Estimated, projected, or otherwise not yet an audited outcome
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to the United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to the United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to all countries)
- Exports to the United States, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026
- Exports to all countries, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (exports to the United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (exports to the United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (total of all merchandise, to United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (total of all merchandise, to United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United Kingdom)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, and their alloys; total exports, all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, and their alloys; total exports, all countries)
- Exports to the United Kingdom, twelve months ending July 2025 to twelve months ending July 2026
- Domestic exports to the United Kingdom, all merchandise, window on window
- Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, total exports to all countries, window on window
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (metal and non-metallic mineral products, to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (energy products, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (energy products, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (motor vehicles and parts, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (motor vehicles and parts, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (motor vehicles and parts, to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (motor vehicles and parts, to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (forestry products and building and packaging materials, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (forestry products and building and packaging materials, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (consumer goods, to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (consumer goods, to United States)
- Metal and non-metallic mineral products to the United States, window on window
- Metal and non-metallic mineral products to all countries, window on window
- Motor vehicles and parts to the United States, window on window
- Motor vehicles and parts to all countries, window on window
- Energy products to the United States, window on window
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: domestic exports to all countries)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Newfoundland and Labrador: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Newfoundland and Labrador: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Prince Edward Island: consumer goods, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Prince Edward Island: consumer goods, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Nova Scotia: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Nova Scotia: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (New Brunswick: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (New Brunswick: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Quebec: metal and non-metallic mineral products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Quebec: metal and non-metallic mineral products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Ontario: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Ontario: motor vehicles and parts, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Manitoba: farm, fishing and intermediate food products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Manitoba: farm, fishing and intermediate food products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Saskatchewan: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Saskatchewan: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (Alberta: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (Alberta: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2026 (British Columbia: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Twelve months ending July 2025 (British Columbia: energy products, domestic exports to United States)
- Calendar 2025 (exports to the United States; the record's lowest-share full year)
- Calendar 2025 (exports to all countries)
- Calendar 2024 (exports to the United States)
- Calendar 2024 (exports to all countries)
- Calendar 2002 (exports to the United States)
- Calendar 2002 (exports to all countries; the record's highest-share year)
- July 2026, single month (exports to the United States)
- July 2026, single month (exports to all countries)
- Additional duty on products of Canada, effective 2025-03-04
- Additional duty on Canadian energy and energy resources, effective 2025-03-04
- Additional duty on products of Canada subject to the 25 percent rate, raised effective 2025-08-01
- Section 232 tariff on imported automobiles, effective 2025-04-03
- Section 232 tariff on steel and aluminum articles, raised effective 2025-06-04
- Section 232 duty on softwood timber and lumber, effective 2025-10-14
- Additional duty on certain products of Canada set forth in Proclamation 11046's own Annex II (the alcoholic-beverage discrimination proclamation), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056
- Additional duty on certain products of Canada set forth in Proclamation 11047's own Annex II (the dairy discrimination proclamation), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056
- Additional duty on certain Canadian products under the motor-vehicles proclamation (Proclamation 11048, Annex II), delayed from the proclamation's own stated 2026-08-19 effective date to 2026-08-22 by Proclamation 11056
- Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages, March 2024 through February 2025 (the prior-year comparison window Proclamation 11046 itself uses)
- Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages, March 2025 through February 2026 (Proclamation 11046's own comparison window)
- Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada, April 2024 through March 2025 (the prior-year comparison window Proclamation 11048 itself uses)
- Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada, April 2025 through March 2026 (Proclamation 11048's own comparison window)
- Value of Canadian goods the Prime Minister's statement (2026-08-21) states the U.S. tariff was about to apply to, and which Canada's dollar-for-dollar retaliation is scoped against
- Canadian imports of U.S. alcoholic beverages: the March 2024-February 2025 window against the March 2025-February 2026 window -- two periods inside one document (Proclamation 11046), not two vintages of a restated figure
- Imports of U.S. motor vehicles into Canada: the April 2024-March 2025 window against the April 2025-March 2026 window -- two periods inside one document (Proclamation 11048), not two vintages of a restated figure
- January 2025 exports, as first published on 6 March 2025
- January 2025 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release
- March 2025 exports, as first published on 6 May 2025
- March 2025 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release
- March 2026 exports, as first published on 5 May 2026
- March 2026 exports, as the same series reads at the 7 July 2026 release
- Calendar 2025 exports, summed from the twelve monthly figures as each was first published
- Calendar 2025 exports, summed from the same twelve months as they read at the 7 July 2026 release
- May 2026 exports -- the freshest month in the record, and a first print with no later release behind it
- May 2026 exports as the ordinary monthly trade table publishes them (the cross-channel control)
- January 2025 exports: first print against the current figure
- March 2025 exports: the largest revision in the window
- March 2026 exports: how far a recent month has already moved, in three releases
- Calendar 2025 exports: the twelve first prints against the same twelve months today
- May 2026 exports read through the revision archive and through the ordinary monthly table
Unresolved
- No official source on either side of the border publishes a continuously updated, machine-readable statement of the tariff status of Canadian exports. The operative documents state rates, scopes, and effective dates, but the duty actually applied to a shipment depends on USMCA qualification, product classification, exclusions, stacking rules, and later modifications — determinations spread across executive orders, proclamations, agency notices, and rulings, with no consolidated official series.
Key evidence
| Issuer | Publication | Published | Vintage | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United Kingdom | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United Kingdom | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Forestry products and building and packaging materials, partner United | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0163-01 -- exports, customs basis, unadjusted, all countries: Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group met | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, Farm, fishing and intermediate food products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-07-07 | Reference months through 2026-05 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United Kingdom | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United Kingdom | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Forestry products and building and packaging materials, partner United | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0163-01 -- exports, customs basis, unadjusted, all countries: Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group met | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, Farm, fishing and intermediate food products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-08-04 | Reference months through 2026-06 (latest thirty-six publishe | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Total of all merchandise, partner United Kingdom | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United Kingdom | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Forestry products and building and packaging materials, partner United | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Canada, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0163-01 -- exports, customs basis, unadjusted, all countries: Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group met | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, total of all merchandise, partner All countries | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Newfoundland and Labrador, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Prince Edward Island, domestic exports, Consumer goods, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Nova Scotia, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- New Brunswick, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Quebec, domestic exports, Metal and non-metallic mineral products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Ontario, domestic exports, Motor vehicles and parts, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Manitoba, domestic exports, Farm, fishing and intermediate food products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Saskatchewan, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- Alberta, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0175-01 -- British Columbia, domestic exports, Energy products, partner United States | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 2023-08 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Historical (real-time) releases of merchandise imports and exports, customs and balance of payments basis, table 12-10-0 | 2026-07-07 | Release member 32 of 32, the most recent release the table c | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Historical (real-time) releases of merchandise imports and exports, table 12-10-0165-01 -- Release member 16, "Marc | 2025-03-06 | Release member 16 of 32; its final reference month is 2025-0 | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Historical (real-time) releases of merchandise imports and exports, table 12-10-0165-01 -- Release member 18, "May | 2025-05-06 | Release member 18 of 32; its final reference month is 2025-0 | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Historical (real-time) releases of merchandise imports and exports, table 12-10-0165-01 -- Release member 30, "May | 2026-05-05 | Release member 30 of 32; its final reference month is 2026-0 | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Historical (real-time) releases of merchandise imports and exports, table 12-10-0165-01 -- the twelve Release members th | 2026-02-19 | Twelve distinct release members, one per reference month of | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-07-07 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-05, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | The Daily, "Canadian international merchandise trade, May 2026" (released 2026-07-07) | 2026-07-07 | May 2026 reference month release | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-08-04 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-06, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-08-04 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-06, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-08-04 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-06, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-08-04 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-06, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-08-04 | Reference months 1997-01 through 2026-06, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 1997-03 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 1997-03 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 1997-03 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 1997-03 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | Table 12-10-0011-01, International merchandise trade for all countries and by Principal Trading Partners, monthly -- exp | 2026-09-03 | Reference months 1997-03 through 2026-07, as published at th | Source → |
| Statistics Canada | The Daily, "Canadian international merchandise trade, July 2026" (released 2026-09-03) | 2026-09-03 | July 2026 reference month release | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Executive Order 14193, Imposing Duties To Address the Flow of Illicit Drugs Across Our Northern Border (90 FR 9113; sign | 2025-02-07 | 90 FR 9113 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Executive Order 14193, Imposing Duties To Address the Flow of Illicit Drugs Across Our Northern Border (90 FR 9113; sign | 2025-02-07 | 90 FR 9113 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Executive Order 14197, Progress on the Situation at Our Northern Border (90 FR 9183; signed 2025-02-03) | 2025-02-10 | 90 FR 9183 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Executive Order 14231, Amendment to Duties To Address the Flow of Illicit Drugs Across Our Northern Border (90 FR 11785; | 2025-03-11 | 90 FR 11785 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Executive Order 14325, Amendment to Duties To Address the Flow of Illicit Drugs Across Our Northern Border (90 FR 37957; | 2025-08-06 | 90 FR 37957 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 10908 of March 26, 2025, Adjusting Imports of Automobiles and Automobile Parts Into the United States (90 F | 2025-04-03 | 90 FR 14705 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 10947 of June 3, 2025, Adjusting Imports of Aluminum and Steel Into the United States (90 FR 24199) | 2025-06-09 | 90 FR 24199 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 10976 of September 29, 2025, Adjusting Imports of Timber, Lumber, and Their Derivative Products Into the Un | 2025-10-06 | 90 FR 48127 | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 11046 of July 20, 2026, Imposing Additional Duties To Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce o | 2026-07-23 | 91 FR 46639 (document number 2026-14991) | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 11047 of July 20, 2026, Imposing Additional Duties To Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce o | 2026-07-23 | 91 FR 46653 (document number 2026-14992) | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 11048 of July 20, 2026, Imposing Additional Duties To Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce o | 2026-07-23 | 91 FR 46663 (document number 2026-14997) | Source → |
| President of the United States (Office of the Federal Register) | Proclamation 11056 of August 18, 2026, Temporary Suspension of Additional Duties To Offset Canadian Discrimination Again | 2026-08-24 | 91 FR 54789 (document number 2026-17294) | Source → |
| Prime Minister of Canada (Office of the Prime Minister) | Statement by Prime Minister Carney on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations (pm.gc.ca, Ottawa, 2026-08-21) | 2026-08-21 | pm.gc.ca statement, dated 2026-08-21 | Source → |
| Prime Minister of Canada (Office of the Prime Minister) | Prime Minister Carney delivers remarks on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations (pm.gc.ca, Ottawa, 2026-08-22) | 2026-08-22 | pm.gc.ca remarks, dated 2026-08-22 | Source → |
| Department of Finance Canada | Canada announces targeted countermeasures and substantive support for workers and businesses in response to U.S. tariffs | 2026-08-25 | canada.ca news release, dated 2026-08-25 | Source → |
| Department of Finance Canada | Support for Canadian workers and businesses affected by U.S. tariffs (canada.ca, Backgrounder, 2026-08-25) | 2026-08-25 | canada.ca backgrounder, dated 2026-08-25 | Source → |
| Department of Finance Canada | Complete list of U.S. products subject to counter tariffs (canada.ca, updated for the list effective 2026-09-08; page-de | 2026-08-25 | canada.ca programs page, own page-details date 2026-08-25, l | Source → |
| Department of Finance Canada | Support for workers and employers impacted by tariffs (canada.ca, programs page; own page-details date 2026-08-25) | 2026-08-25 | canada.ca programs page, own page-details date 2026-08-25 | Source → |
Method and limitations
- The header tally's 'estimated or projected' count means, precisely, 'not independently audited' -- the record's bucket for every value that is not an audited outcome; a third bucket, unresolved, counts comparisons and targets the evidence cannot yet settle. The estimated-or-projected bucket groups genuine estimates and projections together with values verbatim-quoted from a primary legal or statistical text (for example, the escalation section's own duty rates, read directly from each proclamation's own operative clause): none of these has been independently audited, but a quoted legal rate is not an estimate in the ordinary sense, and this tally does not distinguish the two. Every figure on this Brief resolves to a pinned value inside its member Resolutions -- each re-derivable from archived source bytes recorded with content hashes -- or to a Scenario computed once, before publication, from those pinned values under a named formula. Two Statistics Canada bases appear here and are never merged: the Balance of Payments monthly record (seasonally adjusted, the basis reconciled to the national accounts) carries the share and its arc; the customs-basis domestic-export record (unadjusted) carries the product, province, and channel detail. Changes are computed only inside one basis, always as twelve-month window sums against the preceding twelve months. The United States tariff actions appear as dated primary-document facts beside the record; nothing on this page attributes any specific movement to any specific action. The provincial chapter reads the customs record at province grain for all ten provinces on four measures kept deliberately separate -- scale, intensity, the shift in intensity, and composition -- and never combines them into a single exposure score, because they order the provinces differently. Intensity is a share of a province's own goods exports, not of its economy: no output, income or employment denominator appears anywhere on this page, and interprovincial and indirect supply-chain exposure is outside the record entirely. The ten provinces account for very nearly all, but not all, of the national customs total; the unallocated remainder is published rather than closed. Provinces are listed in the source table's own order and are never ranked. Every provincial figure is derived from the same archived bytes the Resolution pins, and is refused unless those bytes re-hash to the Resolution's own recorded content hash.
- Customs-basis domestic exports and Balance-of-Payments total exports are different quantities on different bases: domestic exports exclude re-exports, and the BoP basis adds balance-of-payments adjustments. Levels from this entry are never compared with levels from the U.S. export-share entry anywhere in the Brief; each basis carries its own changes.
- All values are nominal (current dollars); a window-on-window change mixes price and volume movement. The energy fall in particular sits beside lower benchmark oil prices in the later window, and nothing here separates price from volume.
- The NAPCS summary section 'Metal and non-metallic mineral products' is broader than precious metals: it also carries steel, aluminum, and other fabricated mineral products. The unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals series pinned from table 12-10-0163-01 is an all-countries total on a total-exports basis; the two statements (the section's partner-level movement, and the commodity's all-countries movement) are pinned separately and never multiplied into an unpublished bilateral commodity flow.
- Provincial attribution follows the table's own convention (province of origin for domestic exports); every figure on the current vintage is as published at capture on 2026-09-04 and remains subject to standard revisions.
- The ten provinces do not sum to the Canada totals in this entry. Over the twelve months ending July 2026 the provinces sum to 755,546,581 thousand dollars of domestic exports to all countries against Canada's 758,101,277, and 516,238,064 to the United States against Canada's 516,369,653. The residual is the territories, which this capture does not include, plus trade the table does not allocate to a province. The earlier readings' May-2026 and June-2026 figures remain pinned on the superseded publications and are unchanged.
- A province's United States share here is the share of that province's own goods exports, on one table and one basis. It is not a measure of how much of the provincial economy depends on the United States: it has no gross-domestic-product, income or employment denominator, it excludes services entirely, and it cannot see activity a province contributes to another province's exports. Interprovincial and indirect supply-chain exposure is outside this entry altogether.
- Each province's leading section is the section with the largest United States-bound value in the twelve months ending July 2026, determined from the archived bytes and named explicitly; it is not necessarily that province's largest section in the prior window, and the paired prior-window value pins the same named series in both windows. No province's leading section changed between the June-2026 and July-2026 windows. The provincial commodity-section capture (2026-09-04) records that section 'Other balance of payments adjustments' returns no data on this basis for any province, the same absence the earlier captures record. Section values sum to each province's own total-merchandise value to within rounding at the published grain.
- The provincial commodity-section series for the July-2026 vintage were captured on 2026-09-04, the same day as this entry's other July captures; the reference months run through July 2026 from the July-2026 release. For the superseded first reading, those series were captured on 2026-07-21, four days after that reading's other captures, and the identical-vintage claim recorded there was verified at the time by re-deriving the three already-pinned provincial window sums from the live table immediately before the capture; that verification belongs to the first reading and is not re-asserted for any later one.
- This is the aggregate export series, not the United States series. Table 12-10-0165-01 carries one geography -- Canada -- and no partner dimension at all, so it holds the revision history of total merchandise exports to every destination combined. It says how much the total that the U.S.-bound figures sit inside moves after publication. It does not say how much the U.S.-bound figures themselves move, and no issuer publishes a partner-level revision archive that would.
- A revision is not an error. The cube exists because the issuer plans to revise: preliminary figures are replaced as respondent data arrives and again at annual and historical revisions, and the footnote says so. The sizes recorded here are the ordinary working of a monthly statistical programme, stated so that a reader knows how firm a fresh monthly figure is.
- There is no correction factor here, and none can be derived from this entry. Of the thirty-one reference months in this window with at least one later release, eighteen were revised up and thirteen down, and every one of the thirty-one was revised by something. A first print cannot be adjusted toward its settled value by any fixed amount or direction the record supports.
- The window is the cube's, not the record's. The Release dimension holds thirty-two members, from December 6, 2023 to July 7, 2026, and the capture requested the latest seventy-two reference months, so every figure here sits inside 2020-06 to 2026-05. Reference months whose first publication predates December 2023 have no first print inside this window and none is inferred for them.
- The most recent figures are the least settled. March 2026 has three releases behind it and May 2026 has none; the reference months with the widest recorded movement are those with the most releases behind them, simply because they have had more chances to move. Reading the current revision of a recent month as its final value is the specific mistake this entry exists to make visible.
- One release is missing from the ordinary monthly rhythm and the issuer says why. The Release members skip from October 7, 2025 to December 11, 2025, and the cube's own footnote records that 'Due to technical difficulties, this table was not updated as planned on February 9, 2026.' Release members are numbered by the issuer's sequence, and no member is interpolated here to fill a gap.
- Balance-of-Payments monthly values are seasonally adjusted and remain subject to Statistics Canada's standard revisions; every figure on the current vintage is as published at capture on 2026-09-04, and each superseded vintage's figures stay as published at their own capture.
- All values are nominal (current dollars). A change in a window sum mixes price and volume movement; nothing here separates the two, and no figure on this page is a volume statement.
- Partner-level exports are gross shipment values, not domestic value added: a dollar of exports can carry imported content, so partner shares measure where shipments go, not where the income stays. Statistics Canada's value-added trade estimates are on a separate, slower basis and are not part of this record.
- Series-wide statements made from this record (the lowest twelve-month share, the largest one-year share falls) are computed over the full archived monthly series and re-derived independently from the archived bytes; the shares themselves are ratios of the pinned window sums.
- This entry and the customs-basis export entry read closely related but different quantities on different bases (Balance of Payments total exports here; customs-basis domestic exports there). Levels are never compared across the two bases anywhere in the Brief; each side's changes are computed inside its own basis.
- This Resolution states what the named documents say -- rates, scopes, and effective dates -- and nothing about the resulting duty actually paid on any shipment. Coverage depends on USMCA qualification, product classification, exclusions, and subsequent modifications; no official source publishes a continuously updated statement of the tariff status of Canadian exports, and that absence is recorded as the published evidence gap this entry links.
- The documents pinned here are the principal 2025 actions named by the Brief's export record; they are not a complete tariff chronicle. Later modifications, exemptions, court proceedings, or revocations are outside this entry until a value here is superseded, at which point the record gains a dated correction rather than an in-place edit.
- Nothing here attributes any specific movement in Canada's export record to any specific action. The Brief shows the record beside these dated actions; alignment in time is shown, causation is not claimed.
- The long-running countervailing and anti-dumping duties on Canadian softwood lumber are Commerce Department determinations under a separate statutory track and are not pinned here.
- This Resolution states what the six named documents say -- rates, predicates, exclusions, and dates -- and nothing about the resulting duty actually paid on any shipment, the total value of Canadian trade affected, or the tariff status of any specific product today. No official U.S. or Canadian source publishes a continuously updated statement of the tariff status of Canadian exports, the published evidence gap this entry links.
- None of Proclamations 11046, 11047, or 11048 states a total dollar value for the goods newly subject to these duties. Each proclamation's own dollar figures describe a separate quantity, pinned above: the decline in Canadian imports of the named U.S. product category (alcoholic beverages, motor vehicles), used as that proclamation's own discrimination predicate -- not the scope of the new tariff. The one scope figure pinned in this entry, 'roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods', is the Government of Canada's own statement (Prime Minister Carney, 2026-08-21), not a U.S. document, and its currency is not explicitly designated in the statement itself (see the value's own basis for how this record units it against the U.S. figures). No United States document captured here states a total dollar value for the goods newly subject to these duties, and no primary source this record captures states any other dollar scope figure; this Resolution does not state or repeat a figure it has not captured, and does not assert that the Government of Canada's own figure and any other reported figure describe the same population of goods.
- Each proclamation's operative text names an Annex I exactly once, in the sentence immediately after the sentence imposing the duty: 'Except as otherwise provided in this proclamation and in Annex I to this proclamation, the duties imposed in this proclamation are in addition to any other duties, taxes, fees, exactions, and charges applicable to such products.' That sentence makes Annex I a possible exception to the rule that these duties stack with other duties, taxes, fees, exactions, and charges -- nothing in the captured text states Annex I's subject matter, states what it contains, or identifies it among the capture's own unlabelled graphics. This record has not read Annex I and does not establish where or whether it appears within the capture at all. Every 'no exemption' statement in this entry, and on any public surface that cites it, states what the transcribed operative prose says -- no exemption for USMCA-qualifying goods appears in it -- and does not assert that no exemption exists anywhere in Annex I.
- The motor-vehicles proclamation's Annex II product list (the specific tariff lines it covers) is tabular/image content within the captured XML that this record does not transcribe. Its existence, and the proclamation's section-232 and WTO civil-aircraft exclusions, are pinned; the annex's specific line-by-line contents are not, and no claim here characterizes their breadth -- including any comparison of this regime's scope against any earlier one -- beyond what the proclamation's own prose states.
- This Resolution attributes no specific movement in Canada's export or import record to any specific action, forecasts no figure, and characterizes why the two governments' trade negotiations were suspended only by quoting the Prime Minister's own statements.
- Proclamation 11056 delays the effective date of Proclamations 11046, 11047, and 11048 from 2026-08-19 to 2026-08-22; it states no further suspension or resumption schedule beyond that single delayed date. Nothing in the four U.S. documents captured here addresses events after 2026-08-24 (this record's capture date), including any later modification, suspension, exemption, or Canadian retaliatory measure.
- Canada's own announced 'dollar for dollar' retaliatory tariffs are not detailed in the Prime Minister's 2026-08-21 statement: no product list, no effective date, and no rate is stated in that document. A second Canadian primary source captured for this repair pass, the Prime Minister's 2026-08-22 remarks, states the timing in its own words -- 'the Tuesday after Labour Day' -- and names affected sectors as 'such as steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics' -- an open list, not a closed one -- but states no numeral date and no rate. This Resolution states that phrase only as the source's own words and does not convert it into a calendar date anywhere: the rule fixing Labour Day's own date in Canada is a further source this record has not captured, so no numeral date for Canada's retaliatory measures is pinned in this record. No total dollar value for Canada's own retaliatory tariffs is stated in either Canadian primary source captured here, and none is pinned. **Update, 2026-08-25 (see the next caveat for the full concretization):** the product list, effective date, and rate structure described as undetailed above were published by the Department of Finance Canada on 2026-08-25. This caveat is preserved as an accurate description of the record as it stood between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-25, when only the Prime Minister's own statements existed; it is not rewritten in place.
- This entry follows this record's earlier Resolution on the 2025 United States tariff actions on Canadian goods and does not edit, supersede, or restate it; that earlier entry's 2025 executive orders and proclamations remain its own record.
- Concretization, 2026-08-25: the Department of Finance Canada published Canada's own retaliatory counter-tariff schedule (news release and 'Complete list of U.S. products subject to counter tariffs' page), effective 12:01 a.m., 2026-09-08. Its own words: 'Effective September 8, Canada will impose counter-tariffs of 15, 25 and 50 per cent on products drawn from those targeted by U.S. Section 338 and Section 232 tariffs, with the rate for each product matching the corresponding U.S. rate,' applying to 'products covering $27.6 billion in imports from the U.S.,' focused, in the news release's own words, on 'sectors such as steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics' -- the Complete list page's own sector list adds aluminum and plastics to that list. In certain sectors, including steel and aluminum, an existing 25 percent Canadian counter-tariff rises to 50 percent 'to match U.S. rates'; other existing Canadian counter-tariffs, including on U.S. autos, continue unchanged. The same day, the government announced a $7.5 billion package of new and enhanced support measures for tariff-affected workers and businesses, stated as building on 'the nearly $25 billion in supports the government has implemented over the past 18 months' -- both figures pinned as values in this entry, and cited (not re-pinned) in this record's companion Resolution on the federal budgetary balance as a divergence observation only. The news release's own lede states this $27.6 billion figure a second way: as the value of Canadian goods the U.S. tariff applies to, the release's own precise restatement of the Prime Minister's 2026-08-21 'roughly $28 billion' figure pinned earlier in this entry -- and states Canada's own counter-tariffs, covering an equal $27.6 billion of U.S. goods, are matched to it dollar for dollar by the government's own design (see the resolution[] entry recording that this record computes no numeric difference between the Prime Minister's approximate figure and the Department of Finance's precise ones, on grounds of approximation and differing sub-issuer, not differing populations). This record does not reconcile any of these figures against independently measured trade statistics. This capture does not transcribe the item-level tariff schedule (893 rows in the new 2026-09-08 table alone, per this record's own programmatic count, beside two further tables of 313 and 1,814 rows); it pins the publications' own summary text and the rate tiers this record independently verified are present in the schedule (see the Complete list publication's own information_set), which is also the document that carries the underlying Harmonized System codes -- a check that also found the news release's own 'Quick facts' summary (steel/aluminum, furniture, and clothing/apparel named as 50 percent examples; appliances, dairy such as cheese, fish/seafood, and steel/aluminum derivatives named as 25 percent examples) does not name dairy, cosmetics, or wood products among its 50 percent examples, even though specific items in those categories carry the 50 percent rate in the schedule itself -- both statements are pinned, and neither is treated as contradicting the other: a summary naming examples is not a claim that the list is exhaustive. The Complete list page's own note, governing its item-level table, states it is 'prepared for information purposes only and has no official sanction' and that its Harmonized System headings and descriptions 'are for illustrative purposes'; the rate-tier findings above are independently verified against that same table and carry the same qualification.
- Twelve-month sums smooth seasonality and single-month noise; they also lag turning points by construction -- the freshest single month is shown separately on this page.
- Both windows read one series on one basis (Balance of Payments, seasonally adjusted); the share is a ratio of window sums, not an average of monthly shares.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- Rest-of-world is all countries minus the United States, inside one basis (Balance of Payments, seasonally adjusted).
- The U.K. share of the rest-of-world change divides two window-on-window changes; it is a composition statement about the change, not about the level.
- All values are nominal, and the U.K. movement is dominated by the precious-metals channel this Brief documents separately on the customs basis -- a channel that can reverse quickly.
- Domestic exports exclude re-exports of foreign-produced goods; this is the basis on which the product-section detail below is read, and it is never mixed with the Balance of Payments split above.
- All values are nominal twelve-month sums, unadjusted; window-on-window differencing carries the seasonal pattern out by construction.
- The section is broader than precious metals (it also carries steel, aluminum, and fabricated mineral products); the unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals series pinned beside it is an all-countries total on the detailed-commodity table.
- A rising rest-of-world line beside a falling U.S. line is consistent with redirection of the same trade; this page states the two movements and does not assert shipment-level rerouting.
- Nearly all Canadian vehicle exports go to the United States, so the section's rest-of-world base is small; a near-zero rest change is stated as what it is, not annualized into a growth rate story.
- All values are nominal twelve-month sums on the customs domestic-export basis.
- The numerator is Balance-of-Payments goods exports; services and investment income are outside this Brief, so this is the goods-export share of GDP, not total U.S.-linked earnings.
- Numerator and denominator are both calendar-2025 nominal aggregates from Statistics Canada; the denominator quarters are named explicitly and averaged, the standard treatment for an annualized-rate series.
- GDP is a value-added measure while exports are gross shipment values; the ratio states scale, not the share of GDP produced for U.S. demand.
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a scale measure. A province can carry a large share of the national total while sending a smaller proportion of its own exports to the United States than its neighbours.
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a share of the province's own goods exports, not of the provincial economy: it has no gross-domestic-product, income or employment denominator and excludes services entirely.
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- This is a share of the province's own goods exports, not of the provincial economy.
- A small export base moves on fewer shipments than a large one: this province's window sums are a fraction of Ontario's or Alberta's, and single-cargo timing can move its share.
- Both windows read one table on one basis (customs, unadjusted, domestic exports, which exclude re-exports); the share is a ratio of twelve-month window sums, never an average of monthly shares. Customs-basis levels are never compared with the Balance of Payments figures that carry this Brief's national headline.
- All values are nominal: a share shift mixes price and volume movement, and no figure here separates the two.
- The numerator is the classification's own summary section, which is broader than any single commodity; nothing here states a price, a volume, or a pipeline flow.
- This is a concentration measure of the province's cross-border sales, not of its economy.
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