Wage growth: selected-period comparison
The claim
Average hourly wage, % y/y (unadjusted): different averages either side of Nov 2024
A two-segment mean-shift scan over the last 40 months selects a split in Average hourly wage, % y/y (unadjusted) at Nov 2024: mean 4.97 before vs 3.45 after (difference = 3.0× pooled variability). The selected date divides two sets of observations; it does not establish when a change began. This descriptive comparison is not a significance test and does not attribute a cause. Window choice and seasonal patterns can affect it.
Method
Descriptive two-segment mean comparison; selects the largest |difference in means| / pooled standard deviation, reported at ratios of at least 1.5 with at least eight observations per segment. No change-date or statistical-significance inference.
Key sources and licences
- Employee wages by industry, monthly, unadjusted — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
| Added to the Record | 2026-07-13 |
|---|---|
| How it is used | Public in the Record |
| Where it appears | Composed into the Entry-Level Work evidence inside the Canadian Capacity Monitor's workforce-capacity section — its approved destination named in the decision record. |
| What would change it | LFS wage-series revisions removing the shift, or wage growth returning to its prior band. |
| Corrections | 2026-09-14: selected-period comparisons do not establish change dates or statistical significance; calculations are unchanged. |
Technical details
| Record ID | R17-break:wage_yoy |
|---|---|
| Detection rule | R17-break |
| Indicator | wage_yoy |
This Receipt names the public sources and method needed to reproduce the figures it covers. Corrections are dated and explained, with the earlier published record retained.