Nine labour series shifted level in one six-month window

The claim

9 labour indicators shifted level within 6 months (Jan 2024–Jul 2024)

A two-segment mean-shift scan locates a structural level shift in 9 independent labour indicators inside a 6-month window (Jan 2024 to Jul 2024): Employment rate, age 15+ (SA); Employment rate, age 15-24 (SA); Job vacancy rate; Part-time share of employment (SA); Participation rate, age 15+ (SA); Public-sector share of employment (SA); Unemployment rate (SA); Unemployment rate, age 15-24 (SA); Unemployment rate, age 25-54 (SA). Of these, 4 shifted down and 5 shifted up. The detector locates the shifts and counts them; it does not attribute a cause, and a coordinated turn is not evidence that one series moved another. 'Independent' here means only that a member is not a direct arithmetic transform of another member in this cluster -- it is not a statistical independence test, and members may still share source surveys, definitions, or economic mechanisms.

Method

Count of structural breaks sharing a domain and granularity whose break dates fall inside one 6-month sliding window; members that are arithmetic transforms of another member are excluded from the independent count. Gate: >= 3 members and >= 3 independent members.

Key sources and licences

• Labour force characteristics, monthly, seasonally adjusted — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
• Employment by class of worker, monthly, seasonally adjusted — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
• Job vacancies, payroll employees, job vacancy rate, and average offered hourly wage, monthly, seasonally adjusted — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full

This Receipt names the public sources and method needed to reproduce the figures it covers. Corrections are dated and explained, with the earlier published record retained.