Claim in the Record
OBSERVEDAdded to the Record 2026-09-06In the Record, not featured

Employment, age 15+ (SA): selected-period comparison

This claim has been checked and added to the Record, and is not yet featured in a product. It appears here so the full Record stays inspectable.

The claim

Employment, age 15+ (SA): different averages either side of Sep 2024

A two-segment mean-shift scan over the last 40 months selects a split in Employment, age 15+ (SA) at Sep 2024: mean 20,565,053 before vs 21,025,756 after (difference = 3.9× pooled variability). The selected date divides two sets of observations; it does not establish when a change began. This descriptive comparison is not a significance test and does not attribute a cause. Window choice and seasonal patterns can affect it.

Method

Descriptive two-segment mean comparison; selects the largest |difference in means| / pooled standard deviation, reported at ratios of at least 1.5 with at least eight observations per segment. No change-date or statistical-significance inference.

Key sources and licences

Added to the Record2026-09-06
How it is usedIn the Record, not featured
Where it appearsThe original employment level-shift reading entered the Record on 2026-08-11. Its maintained replacement entered on 2026-09-06 after the new evidence moved the detected breakpoint; the earlier reading remains preserved. This claim is inspectable here but is not separately foregrounded in another public product.
What would change itAn LFS revision that removes the detected shift, or a reversal returning the level to its prior band across subsequent months.
Corrections2026-09-14: selected-period comparisons do not establish change dates or statistical significance; calculations are unchanged.
Technical details
Record IDR17-break:employment_level
Detection ruleR17-break
Indicatoremployment_level

This Receipt names the public sources and method needed to reproduce the figures it covers. Corrections are dated and explained, with the earlier published record retained.